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Serie A
Referee: Paolo Valeri
Udinese
S S U S T
1–1
Full-time
Torino
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

33% Possession 67%
6 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Udinese 11. · Torino 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 3 3 0 0 +4 9
2 Napoli 4 3 0 1 +0 9
3 Sassuolo 3 2 1 0 +3 7
4 Sampdoria 3 2 0 1 +7 6
5 Fiorentina 3 2 0 1 +5 6
6 Spal 3 2 0 1 +1 6
7 Roma 4 1 2 1 +0 5
8 Atalanta 3 1 1 1 +3 4
9 Inter 4 1 1 2 +1 4
10 Empoli 3 1 1 1 +1 4
11 Udinese 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Torino 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Parma 4 1 1 2 -1 4
14 Cagliari 3 1 1 1 -1 4
15 Milan 2 1 0 1 +0 3
16 Genoa 2 1 0 1 -1 3
17 Lazio 3 1 0 2 -2 3
18 Chievo 4 0 2 2 -6 2
19 Bologna 3 0 1 2 -4 1
20 Frosinone 4 0 1 3 -10 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Torino
18′
🔁 S. Zaza
↦ Iago Falqué
1–0 R. de Paul
I. Pussetto
28′
38′
🟨 Simone Zaza
43′
🟨 Roberto Soriano
Half-time 1–1
49′
S. Meïté 1–1
R. Soriano
Seko Fofana 🟨
54′
Ł. Teodorczyk 🔁
↦ I. Pussetto
58′
D. Machís 🔁
↦ R. Mandragora
69′
75′
🔁 O. Aina
↦ L. De Silvestri
A. Barák 🔁
↦ K. Lasagna
85′
88′
🔁 V. Parigini
↦ Álex Berenguer
Darwin Machís 🟨
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Udinese

4-1-4-1
22 S. Scuffet G
19 J. Larsen D
17 B. Nuytinck D
5 W. Troost-Ekong D
3 Samir D
11 V. Behrami M
6 S. Fofana M
10 R. de Paul M
23 I. Pussetto M
38 R. Mandragora M
15 K. Lasagna F
Bench (12)
91 Ł. Teodorczyk
16 D. Machís
72 A. Barák
1 J. Musso
2 M. Wagué
4 N. Opoku
7 G. Pezzella
9 Felipe Vizeu
18 H. ter Avest
77 M. D'Alessandro
88 Nicolas
99 A. Balić

Coach: Julio Velázquez

Torino

3-4-2-1
39 S. Sirigu G
24 E. Moretti D
29 L. De Silvestri M
33 N. N'Koulou D
5 A. Izzo D
6 R. Soriano M
23 S. Meïté M
8 D. Baselli M
14 Iago Falqué F
9 A. Belotti F
21 Álex Berenguer F
Bench (11)
11 S. Zaza
34 O. Aina
27 V. Parigini
1 S. Ichazo
7 S. Lukić
19 V. Damaşcan
20 S. Edera
25 A. Rosati
30 K. Djidji
36 Bremer
88 T. Rincón

Coach: W. Mazzarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Paolo Valeri · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.