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OBOS-ligaen
Aalesund
S S U S T
2–1
Full-time
Kongsvinger
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aalesund Kongsvinger
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
4,3
Scored
1,8
2,8
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,3
This season — OBOS-ligaen · 20/22 matches
Win Ø 58%
70%
45%
Points per game
2,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 77%
80%
73%
Both score Ø 62%
55%
68%
Average goals
3,3
3,6
Scored
2,3
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Aalesund 2. · Kongsvinger 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Mjondalen 23 13 7 3 +19 46
2 Aalesund 20 14 3 3 +26 45
3 Viking 22 14 1 7 +17 43
4 Sogndal 21 11 5 5 +14 38
5 Ull/Kisa 22 9 7 6 +12 34
6 Kongsvinger 22 10 3 9 +9 33
7 Tromsdalen Uil 23 9 6 8 -3 33
8 Sandnes ULF 23 8 7 8 -5 31
9 Ham-Kam 23 8 5 10 -1 29
10 Asane 23 8 5 10 -6 29
11 Jerv 23 7 8 8 -6 29
12 Nest-Sotra 21 7 5 9 -2 26
13 Notodden 22 7 4 11 -6 25
14 Strommen 23 8 1 14 -13 25
15 Floro 23 5 3 15 -29 18
16 Levanger 22 3 4 15 -26 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Aalesund Kongsvinger
36′
🔁 H. Holter
↦ F. Sjølstad
45′
Dongwan Gang 0–1
Half-time 0–1
H. Guèye 🔁
↦ A. Arnarson
53′
66′
🔁 F. Pålerud
↦ I. Mafi
71′
🔁 O. Øby
↦ Marlinho
S. Sæthre 🔁
↦ J. Hauge
76′
1–1 T. Agdestein
85′
2–1 S. Fet
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Aalesund

1 A. Lie
30 N. Tkalčić
4 J. Grønner
6 K. Ramsteijn
22 A. Arnarson
3 D. Grétarsson
8 F. Carlsen
7 Nenass
23 T. Agdestein
17 S. Fet
21 J. Hauge
Bench (7)
14 H. Guèye
15 S. Sæthre
10 H. Fridjonsson
13 T. Omenås
16 J. Hatlehol
41 M. Karlsbakk
28 H. Breivik

Coach: L. Bohinen

Kongsvinger

77 A. Origi
3 E. Skagestad
19 M. Lundal
18 I. Mafi
5 C. Røer
24 R. Essaeh
23 F. Sjølstad
15 Marlinho
8 Dongwan Gang
9 A. Güven
26 S. Ibrahim
Bench (5)
16 H. Holter
2 F. Pålerud
11 O. Øby
20 E. Bydal
27 T. Trautner

Coach: M. Dempsey

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.