Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Aalesund
Kongsvinger
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Mjondalen
|
23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | +19 | 46 |
| 2 |
Aalesund
|
20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | +26 | 45 |
| 3 |
Viking
|
22 | 14 | 1 | 7 | +17 | 43 |
| 4 |
Sogndal
|
21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | +14 | 38 |
| 5 |
Ull/Kisa
|
22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | +12 | 34 |
| 6 |
Kongsvinger
|
22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | +9 | 33 |
| 7 |
Tromsdalen Uil
|
23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | -3 | 33 |
| 8 |
Sandnes ULF
|
23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | -5 | 31 |
| 9 |
Ham-Kam
|
23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 |
Asane
|
23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -6 | 29 |
| 11 |
Jerv
|
23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | -6 | 29 |
| 12 |
Nest-Sotra
|
21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | -2 | 26 |
| 13 |
Notodden
|
22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | -6 | 25 |
| 14 |
Strommen
|
23 | 8 | 1 | 14 | -13 | 25 |
| 15 |
Floro
|
23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | -29 | 18 |
| 16 |
Levanger
|
22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | -26 | 13 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
D. Grétarsson
S. Fet
J. Hauge
Coach: L. Bohinen
F. Sjølstad
Coach: M. Dempsey
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ull/Kisa
Aalesund
Jerv
Aalesund
Tromsdalen Uil
Aalesund
Floro
Aalesund
Aalesund
Asane
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.