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Serie A

Referee: Paolo Silvio Mazzoleni

Roma

U S S U T

2–2

Full-time

Chievo

S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Chievo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

4,0

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,7

3,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

55% Possession 45%

16 Shots 13

9 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 3

4 Goalkeeper saves 7

9 Corners 2

3 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Roma 10. · Chievo 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Napoli	4	3	0	1	+0	9
3	Sassuolo	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Sampdoria	3	2	0	1	+7	6
5	Fiorentina	3	2	0	1	+5	6
6	Spal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+3	4
8	Inter	4	1	1	2	+1	4
9	Empoli	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Roma	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Udinese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Torino	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Parma	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Cagliari	3	1	1	1	-1	4
15	Milan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Genoa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Lazio	3	1	0	2	-2	3
18	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Chievo	3	0	1	2	-6	1
20	Frosinone	4	0	1	3	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Sassuolo	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+3	3
5	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Spal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Lazio	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Parma	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Inter	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Chievo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Frosinone	2	0	1	1	-5	1
20	Bologna	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	+4	3
3	Inter	2	1	0	1	+2	3
4	Roma	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Parma	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Spal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Napoli	2	1	0	1	-2	3
9	Atalanta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sassuolo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Udinese	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Empoli	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Chievo	1	0	0	1	-5	0
20	Frosinone	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.