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Serie A

Referee: Luca Banti

Genoa

T T T S T

1–0

Full-time

Bologna

T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genoa Bologna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

1,5

0,3

Conceded

2,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-1,3

This season — Serie A · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

5,5

1,3

Scored

2,5

0,0

Conceded

3,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

13 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 0

4 Blocked shots 7

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 3

0 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 21

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Genoa 16. · Bologna 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Napoli	4	3	0	1	+0	9
3	Sassuolo	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Sampdoria	3	2	0	1	+7	6
5	Fiorentina	3	2	0	1	+5	6
6	Spal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
7	Roma	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+3	4
9	Inter	4	1	1	2	+1	4
10	Empoli	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Udinese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Torino	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Parma	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Cagliari	3	1	1	1	-1	4
15	Milan	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Genoa	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Lazio	3	1	0	2	-2	3
18	Chievo	4	0	2	2	-6	2
19	Bologna	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Frosinone	4	0	1	3	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fiorentina	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Sassuolo	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Napoli	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Atalanta	2	1	0	1	+3	3
5	Sampdoria	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Milan	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Spal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Lazio	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Torino	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Roma	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Cagliari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Parma	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Inter	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Chievo	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Frosinone	2	0	1	1	-5	1
20	Bologna	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	2	2	0	0	+2	6
2	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	+4	3
3	Inter	2	1	0	1	+2	3
4	Roma	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Parma	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Spal	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Cagliari	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Napoli	2	1	0	1	-2	3
9	Atalanta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sassuolo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Torino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Udinese	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Empoli	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Chievo	2	0	1	1	-5	1
16	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Genoa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Lazio	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Frosinone	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.