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Conference League
Referee: B Berke
Midtjylland
T S S S U
2–0
Full-time
HNK Rijeka
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Midtjylland HNK Rijeka
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
1,7
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 2/4 matches
Win Ø 88%
100%
75%
Points per game
3,0
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
3,5
1,3
Scored
2,5
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

60% Possession 40%
18 Shots 9
10 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Midtjylland HNK Rijeka
1–0 Cho Gue-Sung ⚽
Franculino
20′
36′
🟨 Ivan Ćubelić
Half-time 1–0
S. Johannesen 🔁
↦ V. Byskov
46′
S. Iheanacho 🔁
↦ Franculino
46′
2–0 S. Johannesen ⚽
48′
50′
🟨 Toni Fruk
K. Watjen 🔁
↦ D. Castillo
59′
Sofus Johannesen 🟨
60′
67′
🔁 J. Puljic
↦ T. Dantas
F. Etim 🔁
↦ Cho Gue-Sung
74′
74′
🔁 A. Gojak
↦ I. Cubelic
74′
🔁 Y. Kabadayi
↦ N. Jankovic
87′
🔁 J. Lasickas
↦ T. Fruk
87′
🔁 A. Juric
↦ D. Adu Adjei
89′
🟨 Alfonso Barco
A. Gabriel 🔁
↦ D. Osorio
89′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Midtjylland

3-5-2
1 E. Olafsson G
8 P. Billing D
3 M. Jensen D
22 M. B. Sorensen D
11 D. Osorio M
5 R. Kristensen M
19 P. Bravo M
21 D. Castillo M
20 V. Byskov M
7 Franculino F
10 Cho Gue-Sung F
Bench (12)
25 N. Bakker
6 M. Erlic
13 A. Gabriel
15 D. Beni
34 A. Ndiaye
29 K. Watjen
27 S. Johannesen
80 Dani Silva
14 E. Chilufya
18 S. Iheanacho
90 F. Etim
38 J. Emefile

Coach: Mike Tullberg

HNK Rijeka

4-2-3-1
99 A. Todorovic G
22 A. Orec D
45 A. Majstorovic D
5 A. Barco D
34 M. Devetak D
8 I. Cubelic M
6 B. Pavic M
10 T. Fruk M
26 T. Dantas M
4 N. Jankovic M
18 D. Adu Adjei F
Bench (12)
13 I. Vekic
1 V. Kovac
23 J. Lasickas
3 M. Zivkovic
51 A. Husic
91 N. Bodetic
14 A. Gojak
19 S. Vignato
21 J. Puljic
7 Y. Kabadayi
11 G. Rukavina
77 A. Juric

Coach: Matjaz Kek

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

B Berke · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,50 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.