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Conference League
Referee: S van der Eijk
Olimpija Ljubljana
U S T S S
1–0
Full-time
Larne
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olimpija Ljubljana Larne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 9/7 matches
Win Ø 54%
78%
29%
Points per game
2,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
44%
71%
Both score Ø 45%
33%
57%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
2,1
1,0
Conceded
0,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,14 xG 0,27
79% Possession 21%
17 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
12 Corners 0
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Match report

Olimpija Ljubljana Larne
Jorge Silva 🟨
35′
35′
🟨 Sean Graham
Half-time 0–0
A. Marin 🔁
↦ Thalisson
46′
Diogo Pinto 🔁
↦ Manuel Pedreño
46′
57′
🟨 Rohan Ferguson
59′
🔁 T. Cosgrove
↦ J. McEneff
I. Durdov 🔁
↦ M. Brest
65′
1–0 I. Durdov ⚽
R. Florucz
67′
69′
🔁 S. Todd
↦ M. Randall
69′
🔁 C. McKendry
↦ D. Sloan
69′
🔁 M. Lusty
↦ P. ONeill
82′
🟨 Sean Graham
82′
🟥 Sean Graham
J. Lasickas 🔁
↦ Jorge Silva
88′
88′
🔁 B. Magee
↦ J. Thomson
D. Kojić 🔁
↦ R. Florucz
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Olimpija Ljubljana

3-1-4-2
69 M. Vidovšek G
21 Manuel Pedreño D
14 M. Ratnik D
17 A. Muhamedbegović D
6 P. Agba M
2 Jorge Silva M
88 Thalisson M
34 A. Doffo M
3 David Sualehe M
10 R. Florucz F
18 M. Brest F
Bench (12)
99 A. Marin
23 Diogo Pinto
19 I. Durdov
8 J. Lasickas
9 D. Kojić
15 M. Ristić
22 D. Pintol
36 G. Lubej Fink
45 M. Aćimović
33 J. Govea
11 Álex Blanco
24 R. Boultam

Coach: Víctor Sánchez

Larne

5-4-1
1 R. Ferguson G
6 J. Thomson D
2 S. Want D
18 C. Bolger D
4 A. Donnelly D
11 S. Graham D
25 D. Sloan M
8 M. Randall M
27 C. Gallagher M
16 J. McEneff M
9 P. O'Neill F
Bench (7)
23 T. Cosgrove
20 S. Todd
7 C. McKendry
30 M. Lusty
14 B. Magee
50 D. Collett
31 J. Besant

Coach: G. Haveron

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S van der Eijk · 105 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.