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Europa League
Referee: I Pajač
Sp Braga
S S U T S
3–0
Full-time
Hoffenheim
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Braga Hoffenheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 10/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
70%
25%
Both score Ø 55%
60%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

0,48 xG 0,78
45% Possession 55%
9 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 9
1 Offside 6
9 Free kicks against 13
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sp Braga Hoffenheim
1–0 Bruma ⚽
2′
2–0 Roger Fernandes ⚽
Ricardo Horta
8′
40′
🟨 Adam Hložek
Half-time 2–0
64′
🔁 U. Tohumcu
↦ A. Hložek
64′
🔁 D. Geiger
↦ T. Bischof
Víctor Gómez 🔁
↦ Roger Fernandes
66′
Roberto Fernández 🔁
↦ A. El Ouazzani
66′
72′
🔁 H. Tabaković
↦ A. Kramarić
72′
🔁 A. Prass
↦ J. Bruun Larsen
Robson Bambu 🔁
↦ S. Niakaté
75′
81′
🔁 M. Moerstedt
↦ A. Stach
J. Gorby 🔁
↦ João Moutinho
88′
Yuri Ribeiro 🔁
↦ Gabri Martínez
88′
3–0 Vitor Carvalho ⚽
95′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Sp Braga

4-3-3
1 Matheus G
13 João Ferreira D
4 S. Niakaté D
26 B. Arrey-Mbi D
77 Gabri Martínez D
21 Ricardo Horta M
6 Vitor Carvalho M
8 João Moutinho M
11 Roger Fernandes F
9 A. El Ouazzani F
7 Bruma F
Bench (12)
2 Víctor Gómez
90 Roberto Fernández
3 Robson Bambu
29 J. Gorby
25 Yuri Ribeiro
53 Jonatás Noro
33 João Marques
19 Adrián Marín
91 L. Horníček
10 André Horta
12 Tiago Sá
20 Ismaël Gharbi

Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

Hoffenheim

4-2-3-1
1 O. Baumann G
15 V. Gendrey D
35 Arthur Chaves D
25 K. Akpoguma D
19 D. Jurásek D
16 A. Stach M
7 T. Bischof M
29 J. Bruun Larsen M
27 A. Kramarić M
23 A. Hložek M
10 M. Berisha F
Bench (12)
17 U. Tohumcu
8 D. Geiger
26 H. Tabaković
22 A. Prass
33 M. Moerstedt
2 R. Hranáč
3 P. Kadeřábek
34 S. Nsoki
4 T. Drexler
18 D. Samassékou
36 L. Petersson
37 L. Philipp

Coach: C. Ilzer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Pajač · 13 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.