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Conference League
Referee: N Dabanović
FC Astana
T S S T T
1–1
Full-time
Guimaraes
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Astana Guimaraes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 78%
56%
100%
Points per game
1,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
33%
78%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
1,6
2,7
Conceded
0,9
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,60 xG 2,28
36% Possession 64%
6 Shots 34
4 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 9
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 11
3 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 11
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

FC Astana Guimaraes
1–0 B. Kalaica
K. Bartolec
40′
Half-time 1–0
58′
🟨 Tiago Silva
Geoffrey Chinedu Charles 🟨
63′
64′
🔁 Bica
↦ João Mendes
64′
🔁 João Teixeira Mendes
↦ Miguel Maga
64′
🔁 J. Ramírez
↦ Nélson Oliveira
77′
🟨 Alberto Baio
79′
🔁 Tomás Händel
↦ Tiago Silva
79′
🔁 Telmo Arcanjo
↦ Kaio César
Max Ebong 🟨
81′
R. Karimov 🔁
↦ C. Geoffrey
82′
B. Osei 🔁
↦ N. Gripshi
86′
89′
J. Ramírez 1–1
Telmo Arcanjo
Josip Čondrić 🟨
92′
92′
🟨 Tomás Händel
A. Marochkin 🔁
↦ M. Ebong
92′
Karlo Bartolec 🟨
93′
Aleksa Amanović 🟨
94′
94′
🟨 João Mendes
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

FC Astana

4-2-3-1
93 J. Čondrić G
2 K. Bartolec D
5 K. Kažukolovas D
3 B. Kalaica D
6 Y. Vorogovskiy D
7 M. Ebong M
45 A. Amanović M
10 M. Tomasov M
77 N. Gripshi M
28 O. Camara M
9 C. Geoffrey F
Bench (12)
81 R. Karimov
19 B. Osei
22 A. Marochkin
72 S. Basmanov
97 N. Zhaksylyk
8 I. Kuat
11 N. Ahanonu
74 M. Seysen
27 T. Dosmagambetov
4 M. Bystrov
55 A. Zarutskiy
21 E. Astanov

Coach: G. Babayan

Guimaraes

4-3-3
14 Bruno Varela G
22 Alberto Baio D
44 Jorge Fernandes D
24 T. Borevković D
2 Miguel Maga D
10 Tiago Silva M
6 Manu M
17 João Mendes M
11 Kaio César F
7 Nélson Oliveira F
77 Nuno Santos F
Bench (11)
79 Bica
13 João Teixeira Mendes
9 J. Ramírez
8 Tomás Händel
18 Telmo Arcanjo
91 Gui
76 Bruno Gaspar
28 Zé Carlos
20 Samu
27 Charles
15 Óscar Rivas

Coach: Rui Borges

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Dabanović · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.