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Europa League
Referee: H Feșnic
AZ Alkmaar
U T S T S
1–1
Full-time
Galatasaray
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Galatasaray
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,0
Scored
1,7
2,7
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
50%
75%
Points per game
1,5
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
3,0
5,0
Scored
1,5
3,0
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,67 xG 2,10
40% Possession 60%
12 Shots 19
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 10
4 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Galatasaray
-5′
🟨 Yunus Akgün
1–0 S. Mijnans ⚽
2′
Ruben van Bommel 🟨
6′
43′
⚽ V. Osimhen 1–1
D. Mertens
Peer Koopmeiners ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
44′
Half-time 1–1
E. Poku 🔁
↦ R. van Bommel
46′
D. Kwakman 🔁
↦ J. Clasie
46′
46′
🔁 M. Baltacı
↦ V. Nelsson
64′
🔁 K. Demirbay
↦ M. Batshuayi
K. Smit 🔁
↦ Z. Buurmeester
72′
D. Kasius 🔁
↦ M. Lahdo
72′
Troy Parrott 🟨
73′
M. Meerdink 🔁
↦ T. Parrott
81′
84′
🟨 Dries Mertens
86′
🔁 B. Kutlu
↦ B. Yılmaz
87′
🔁 E. Jelert
↦ Y. Akgün
87′
🔁 H. Ziyech
↦ Gabriel Sara
Kees Smit 🟨
88′
88′
🟨 Victor Osimhen
89′
🟨 Davinson Sánchez
Kees Smit 🟨
92′
Kees Smit 🟥
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
41 J. Zoet G
16 S. Maikuma D
6 P. Koopmeiners D
5 Alexandre Penetra D
18 D. Møller Wolfe D
8 J. Clasie M
10 S. Mijnans M
28 Z. Buurmeester M
23 M. Lahdo F
9 T. Parrott F
7 R. van Bommel F
Bench (12)
21 E. Poku
33 D. Kwakman
26 K. Smit
30 D. Kasius
35 M. Meerdink
17 J. Addai
12 H. Verhulst
14 K. Belić
4 B. Martins Indi
34 M. de Wit
3 W. Goes
31 D. Deen

Coach: M. Martens

Galatasaray

3-4-1-2
1 F. Muslera G
6 D. Sánchez D
25 V. Nelsson D
42 A. Bardakcı D
53 B. Yılmaz M
34 L. Torreira M
20 Gabriel Sara M
11 Y. Akgün M
10 D. Mertens F
45 V. Osimhen F
44 M. Batshuayi F
Bench (12)
90 M. Baltacı
8 K. Demirbay
18 B. Kutlu
24 E. Jelert
22 H. Ziyech
68 R. Dilek
19 G. Güvenç
67 B. Luş
83 E. Akman
58 A. Yeşilyurt
65 K. Subaşı
12 B. Şen

Coach: O. Buruk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

H Feșnic · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.