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Europa League
Referee: M Krogh
Anderlecht
S S S U S
2–2
Full-time
Porto
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Porto
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,7
Scored
2,8
2,3
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 54%
83%
25%
Points per game
2,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
33%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
50%
75%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,91 xG 1,41
53% Possession 47%
9 Shots 12
5 Shots on target 5
0 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 5
6 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Anderlecht Porto
22′
ℹ️ Francisco Moura
VAR: Penalty confirmed
24′
⚽ Galeno 0–1
Moussa N'Diaye 🟨
29′
34′
🟨 João Mário
44′
🟨 Nico González
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 Martim Fernandes
↦ João Mário
1–1 T. Degreef ⚽
M. Rits
52′
F. Amuzu 🔁
↦ S. Edozie
60′
L. Vázquez 🔁
↦ K. Dolberg
73′
A. Dreyer 🔁
↦ T. Degreef
73′
75′
🔁 Gonçalo Borges
↦ Pepê
82′
🔁 Fábio Vieira
↦ S. Eustaquio
83′
⚽ Fábio Vieira 1–2
Nico González
N. Engwanda 🔁
↦ T. Foket
84′
Y. Verschaeren 🔁
↦ L. Dendoncker
84′
2–2 F. Amuzu ⚽
M. N'Diaye
86′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-2-3-1
26 C. Coosemans G
25 T. Foket D
4 J. Šimić D
13 M. Jørgensen D
5 M. N'Diaye D
23 M. Rits M
32 L. Dendoncker M
83 T. Degreef M
29 M. Stroeykens M
27 S. Edozie M
12 K. Dolberg F
Bench (10)
7 F. Amuzu
20 L. Vázquez
36 A. Dreyer
71 N. Engwanda
10 Y. Verschaeren
16 M. Kikkenborg
17 T. Leoni
19 N. Angulo
63 T. Vanhoutte
73 A. Lapage

Coach: D. Hubert

Porto

4-3-3
99 Diogo Costa G
23 João Mário D
24 N. Pérez D
4 Otávio D
74 Francisco Moura D
6 S. Eustaquio M
22 A. Varela M
16 Nico González M
11 Pepê F
9 Samu Aghehowa F
13 Galeno F
Bench (12)
52 Martim Fernandes
70 Gonçalo Borges
10 Fábio Vieira
20 André Franco
12 Z. Sanusi
97 Zé Pedro
86 Rodrigo Mora
15 Vasco Sousa
14 Cláudio Ramos
21 Fran Navarro
19 D. Namaso
3 Tiago Djaló

Coach: Vítor Bruno

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Krogh · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.