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Conference League
Referee: E Jorgji
Heidenheim
S S T T S
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heidenheim Olimpija Ljubljana
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
2,2
2,3
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 92%
100%
83%
Points per game
3,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
2,5
2,3
Conceded
1,5
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,11 xG 1,19
67% Possession 33%
18 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Heidenheim Olimpija Ljubljana
1–0 A. Beck
6′
25′
🔁 Álex Blanco
↦ R. Boultam
37′
🟨 Thalisson
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Muhamedbegović
↦ D. Kojić
46′
🔁 P. Agba
↦ Thalisson
P. Wanner 🔁
↦ A. Beck
62′
J. Schöppner 🔁
↦ N. Dorsch
63′
M. Pieringer 🔁
↦ M. Breunig
63′
64′
🟨 Peter Agba
J. Föhrenbach 🔁
↦ N. Theuerkauf
73′
74′
🔁 M. Brest
↦ R. Florucz
L. Kerber 🔁
↦ S. Conteh
77′
77′
Álex Blanco 1–1
M. Brest
Paul Wanner
penalty missed
83′
2–1 P. Wanner
83′
Paul Wanner 🟨
84′
Luca Kerber ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
86′
Leo Scienza 🟨
88′
88′
🔁 J. Govea
↦ David Sualehe
Luca Kerber 🟨
95′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Heidenheim

4-1-4-1
1 K. Müller G
23 O. Traoré D
6 P. Mainka D
4 T. Siersleben D
30 N. Theuerkauf D
33 L. Maloney M
31 S. Conteh M
21 A. Beck M
39 N. Dorsch M
8 Léo Scienza M
14 M. Breunig F
Bench (12)
10 P. Wanner
3 J. Schöppner
18 M. Pieringer
19 J. Föhrenbach
20 L. Kerber
40 F. Feller
2 M. Busch
5 B. Gimber
29 M. Kaufmann
25 C. Negele
36 L. Janeš
22 V. Eicher

Coach: F. Schmidt

Olimpija Ljubljana

4-4-2
69 M. Vidovšek G
2 Jorge Silva D
14 M. Ratnik D
15 M. Ristić D
3 David Sualehe D
9 D. Kojić M
88 Thalisson M
34 A. Doffo M
24 R. Boultam M
10 R. Florucz F
37 Pedro Lucas F
Bench (12)
11 Álex Blanco
17 A. Muhamedbegović
6 P. Agba
18 M. Brest
33 J. Govea
19 I. Durdov
22 D. Pintol
45 M. Aćimović
23 Diogo Pinto
36 G. Lubej Fink
8 J. Lasickas
21 Manuel Pedreño

Coach: Víctor Sánchez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Jorgji · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.