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Conference League
Referee: I Barbara
Larne
T T S T T
1–2
Full-time
St. Gallen
T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Larne St. Gallen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 6/8 matches
Win Ø 36%
33%
38%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
50%
63%
Average goals
2,8
3,6
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,10 xG 0,96
30% Possession 70%
1 Shots 19
1 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 16
1 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Larne St. Gallen
0–1 A. Diaby ⚽
own goal
4′
29′
⚽ L. Görtler 0–2
C. Okoroji
Levi Ives 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–2
51′
🟨 Albert Vallci
75′
🔁 C. Konietzke
↦ B. Toma
75′
🔁 C. Witzig
↦ K. Csoboth
M. Lusty 🔁
↦ J. McEneff
76′
S. Graham 🔁
↦ D. Sloan
76′
79′
⚽ H. Vandermersch 0–3
C. Witzig
A. Donnelly 🔁
↦ C. Gallagher
82′
M. Randall 🔁
↦ A. Ryan
82′
89′
🔁 M. Cisse
↦ C. Akolo
B. Magee 🔁
↦ S. Want
90′
96′
🔁 K. Faber
↦ W. Geubbels
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Larne

5-3-2
1 R. Ferguson G
17 J. Seary D
2 S. Want D
18 C. Bolger D
20 S. Todd D
3 L. Ives D
25 D. Sloan M
27 C. Gallagher M
6 J. Thomson M
29 A. Ryan F
16 J. McEneff F
Bench (8)
30 M. Lusty
11 S. Graham
4 A. Donnelly
8 M. Randall
14 B. Magee
31 J. Besant
7 C. McKendry
9 P. O'Neill

Coach: T. Lynch

St. Gallen

4-3-1-2
1 L. Zigi G
28 H. Vandermersch D
15 A. Diaby D
20 A. Vallci D
36 C. Okoroji D
16 L. Görtler M
64 M. Stevanović M
77 K. Csoboth M
24 B. Toma M
9 W. Geubbels F
10 C. Akolo F
Bench (8)
63 C. Konietzke
7 C. Witzig
11 M. Cisse
22 K. Faber
14 N. Yannick
30 Víctor Ruiz
25 L. Watkowiak
60 G. Muslija

Coach: E. Maaßen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Barbara · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
16,5 / match
Below average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.