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Europa League
Referee: J Weinberger
Rīgas FS
T T U T U
0–2
Full-time
PAOK
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rīgas FS PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 8/6 matches
Win Ø 36%
38%
33%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
63%
50%
Both score Ø 48%
63%
33%
Average goals
3,4
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,52 xG 1,61
46% Possession 54%
8 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
3 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Rīgas FS PAOK
2′
⚽ K. Despodov 0–1
A. Živković
L. Silagadze 🔁
↦ A. Markhiev
28′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 O. Colley
↦ G. Michailidis
47′
🟨 Mady Camara
59′
⚽ F. Chalov 0–2
K. Despodov
D. Lemajič 🔁
↦ D. Balodis
66′
66′
🔁 T. Tissoudali
↦ F. Chalov
E. Stuglis 🔁
↦ H. Prenga
70′
81′
🔁 S. Shoretire
↦ K. Despodov
81′
🔁 Joan Sastre
↦ Jonny
86′
🔁 K. Thymianis
↦ G. Konstantelias
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Rīgas FS

3-5-2
40 F. Ondoa G
2 D. Balodis D
23 H. Prenga D
43 Ž. Lipušček D
11 R. Savaļnieks M
27 A. Markhiev M
26 S. Panič M
18 D. Zelenkovs M
8 L. Odisharia M
9 J. Ikaunieks F
17 C. Kouadio F
Bench (10)
77 L. Silagadze
22 D. Lemajič
21 E. Stuglis
15 R. Ndjiki
10 Emerson Deocleciano
30 H. Njie
1 P. Šteinbors
3 V. Osuagwu
25 P. Mareš
16 S. Vilkovs

Coach: V. Morozs

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
19 Jonny D
16 T. Kędziora D
5 G. Michailidis D
21 A. Baba D
2 Mady Camara M
27 M. Ozdoev M
77 K. Despodov M
7 G. Konstantelias M
14 A. Živković M
9 F. Chalov F
Bench (8)
15 O. Colley
34 T. Tissoudali
47 S. Shoretire
23 Joan Sastre
25 K. Thymianis
41 D. Monastirlis
54 K. Balomenos
90 D. Kottas

Coach: R. Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Weinberger · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.