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Conference League
Referee: P Farrugia
The New Saints
S U T S T
0–1
Full-time
Djurgarden
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

The New Saints Djurgarden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 5/9 matches
Win Ø 48%
40%
56%
Points per game
1,4
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
40%
56%
Both score Ø 38%
20%
56%
Average goals
2,0
2,4
Scored
1,2
1,6
Conceded
0,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,37 xG 0,93
40% Possession 60%
8 Shots 16
0 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 6
0 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
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Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

P Farrugia · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
12,1 / match
Below average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.