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Conference League
Referee: V Fotias
Larne
S T T S T
1–4
Full-time
Shamrock Rovers
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Larne Shamrock Rovers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,2
This season — Conference League · 5/1 matches
Win Ø 20%
40%
0%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
60%
0%
Both score Ø 70%
40%
100%
Average goals
2,4
2,0
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

0,53 xG 1,62
43% Possession 57%
9 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 8
16 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Larne Shamrock Rovers
3′
⚽ J. Honohan 0–1
24′
⚽ J. Kenny 0–2
G. Burke
Sean Graham 🟨
27′
30′
⚽ T. Cosgrove 1–2
own goal
32′
ℹ️ Graham Burke
VAR: Goal confirmed
Tomas Cosgrove 🟨
37′
Half-time 2–2
2–2 C. Gallagher ⚽
J. Thomson
48′
53′
⚽ G. Burke 2–3
J. McEneff 🔁
↦ J. Thomson
60′
60′
🔁 D. Nugent
↦ D. Mândroiu
66′
🔁 C. Noonan
↦ G. Burke
M. Randall 🔁
↦ D. Sloan
73′
73′
🔁 D. Watts
↦ M. Poom
73′
🔁 T. Clarke
↦ D. Burns
73′
🔁 J. Byrne
↦ A. McEneff
M. Lusty 🔁
↦ B. Magee
74′
93′
🟨 Roberto Lopes
S. Want 🔁
↦ T. Cosgrove
94′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Larne

4-2-3-1
1 R. Ferguson G
23 T. Cosgrove D
18 C. Bolger D
20 S. Todd D
3 L. Ives D
27 C. Gallagher M
6 J. Thomson M
14 B. Magee M
25 D. Sloan M
11 S. Graham M
29 A. Ryan F
Bench (7)
16 J. McEneff
8 M. Randall
30 M. Lusty
2 S. Want
31 J. Besant
17 J. Seary
9 P. O'Neill

Coach: T. Lynch

Shamrock Rovers

3-4-2-1
1 L. Pöhls G
6 D. Cleary D
4 Roberto Lopes D
5 L. Grace D
21 D. Burns M
8 A. McEneff M
19 M. Poom M
2 J. Honohan M
10 G. Burke F
22 D. Mândroiu F
24 J. Kenny F
Bench (10)
15 D. Nugent
34 C. Noonan
7 D. Watts
18 T. Clarke
29 J. Byrne
9 A. Greene
27 C. O'Sullivan
25 L. Steacy
41 A. Noonan
16 G. O'Neill

Coach: S. Bradley

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

V Fotias · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.