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Europa League
Referee: N Minaković
Qarabag
T T T T S
1–4
Full-time
Lyon
U U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Qarabag Lyon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
2,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

2,51 xG 2,35
57% Possession 43%
17 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 10
5 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Qarabag Lyon
15′
⚽ G. Mikautadze 0–1
E. Nuamah
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 C. Tolisso
↦ E. Nuamah
57′
🟨 Ainsley Maitland-Niles
Matheus Silva 🔁
↦ M. Vešović
60′
Leandro Andrade 🔁
↦ O. Kashchuk
60′
Júlio Romão 🔁
↦ Patrick Andrade
61′
62′
🔁 S. Benrahma
↦ R. Cherki
63′
⚽ C. Tolisso 0–2
J. Veretout
E. Cəfərquliyev 🔁
↦ T. Bayramov
65′
68′
⚽ M. Fofana 0–3
S. Benrahma
E. Addai 🔁
↦ Y. Benzia
74′
76′
🔁 N. Matić
↦ T. Tessmann
76′
🔁 M. Caqueret
↦ J. Veretout
80′
⚽ G. Mikautadze 0–4
A. Maitland-Niles
82′
🔁 E. Molébé
↦ M. Fofana
1–4 Juninho ⚽
88′
93′
🟨 Nicolás Tagliafico
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
99 M. Kochalski G
29 M. Vešović D
13 B. Mustafazadə D
81 K. Medina D
27 T. Bayramov D
66 Patrick Andrade M
8 M. Janković M
21 O. Kashchuk M
7 Y. Benzia M
10 A. Zoubir M
18 Juninho F
Bench (12)
2 Matheus Silva
15 Leandro Andrade
6 Júlio Romão
44 E. Cəfərquliyev
11 E. Addai
30 A. Hüseynov
20 R. Almeyda
12 S. Məmmədzadə
97 F. Buntić
24 A. Isaev
90 N. Axundzadə
22 M. Qurbanlı

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Lyon

4-2-3-1
23 Lucas Perri G
98 A. Maitland-Niles D
27 W. Omari D
55 D. Ćaleta-Car D
3 N. Tagliafico D
15 T. Tessmann M
7 J. Veretout M
37 E. Nuamah M
18 R. Cherki M
11 M. Fofana M
69 G. Mikautadze F
Bench (12)
8 C. Tolisso
17 S. Benrahma
31 N. Matić
6 M. Caqueret
29 E. Molébé
10 A. Lacazette
20 S. Kumbedi
19 M. Niakhaté
40 R. Descamps
22 Clinton Mata
16 Abner
30 J. Bengui-João

Coach: P. Sage

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

N Minaković · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.