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Europa League
Referee: G Kruashvili
Ath Bilbao
U U S U S
3–0
Full-time
Elfsborg
T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Elfsborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,5
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
0,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 4/12 matches
Win Ø 67%
75%
58%
Points per game
2,5
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 29%
25%
33%
Both score Ø 46%
50%
42%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,43 xG 0,27
70% Possession 30%
19 Shots 2
6 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
10 Corners 0
0 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Ath Bilbao Elfsborg
1–0 Adama Boiro ⚽
Gorka Guruzeta
6′
Iñaki Williams 🟨
21′
2–0 Beñat Prados ⚽
Nico Williams
24′
30′
🟨 Buhari Ibrahim
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 G. Rapp
↦ A. Zeneli
46′
🔁 T. Ouma
↦ I. Buhari
3–0 Gorka Guruzeta ⚽
Adama Boiro
53′
Álex Berenguer 🔁
↦ I. Williams
56′
Ander Herrera 🔁
↦ Ruíz de Galarreta
56′
Unai Gómez 🔁
↦ Oihan Sancet
63′
Nico Serrano 🔁
↦ Nico Williams
63′
72′
🔁 R. Kaib
↦ A. Qasem
72′
🔁 T. Yegbe
↦ M. Baidoo
72′
🔁 E. Holten
↦ B. Zeneli
Lekue 🔁
↦ Adama Boiro
76′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 Unai Simón G
2 Andoni Gorosabel D
3 Dani Vivian D
4 Aitor Paredes D
32 Adama Boiro D
16 Ruíz de Galarreta M
24 Beñat Prados M
9 I. Williams M
8 Oihan Sancet M
10 Nico Williams M
12 Gorka Guruzeta F
Bench (12)
7 Álex Berenguer
21 Ander Herrera
20 Unai Gómez
22 Nico Serrano
15 Lekue
13 Julen Agirrezabala
5 Yeray
14 Unai Núñez
11 Álvaro Djaló
6 Mikel Vesga
23 Mikel Jauregizar
18 De Marcos

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Elfsborg

3-4-3
31 I. Pettersson G
29 I. Buhari D
8 S. Holmén D
4 G. Henriksson D
15 S. Hedlund M
27 B. Zeneli M
6 A. Baldursson M
23 N. Hult M
9 A. Zeneli F
10 M. Baidoo F
18 A. Qasem F
Bench (12)
20 G. Rapp
16 T. Ouma
19 R. Kaib
2 T. Yegbe
12 E. Holten
26 L. Richtnér
30 M. Bundgaard
5 F. Aronsson
13 J. Larsson
14 J. Abdullai
1 M. Uppenberg
28 L. Östman

Coach: O. Hiljemark

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Kruashvili · 19 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.