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Conference League
Referee: U Schnyder
5–0
Full-time
HNK Rijeka
U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olimpija Ljubljana HNK Rijeka
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
1,5
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 5/1 matches
Win Ø 40%
80%
0%
Points per game
2,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 20%
40%
0%
Both score Ø 70%
40%
100%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
0,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Olimpija Ljubljana HNK Rijeka
1–0 R. Florucz
2′
8′
🟨 Niko Janković
Thalisson 🟨
10′
2–0 Thalisson
13′
3–0 D. Kojić
35′
Dino Kojić 🟨
38′
38′
🟨 Stjepan Radeljić
4–0 Thalisson
45′
Half-time 4–0
M. Brest 🔁
↦ D. Kojić
46′
46′
🔁 N. Djouahra
↦ T. Fruk
46′
🔁 L. Selahi
↦ V. Hodža
46′
🔁 A. Majstorović
↦ S. Radeljić
46′
🔁 B. Bogojević
↦ M. Devetak
5–0 Pedro Lucas
47′
52′
🟨 Dejan Petrovič
Raul Florucz 🟨
54′
I. Durdov 🔁
↦ Pedro Lucas
56′
Diogo Pinto 🔁
↦ R. Florucz
56′
J. Lasickas 🔁
↦ David Sualehe
67′
M. Ristić 🔁
↦ A. Muhamedbegović
74′
74′
🔁 K. Andrić
↦ F. Ivanović
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Olimpija Ljubljana

4-4-2
69 M. Vidovšek G
2 Jorge Silva D
14 M. Ratnik D
17 A. Muhamedbegović D
3 David Sualehe D
30 R. Florucz M
34 A. Doffo M
88 Thalisson M
6 P. Agba M
37 Pedro Lucas F
9 D. Kojić M
Bench (12)
18 M. Brest
19 I. Durdov
23 Diogo Pinto
8 J. Lasickas
15 M. Ristić
24 R. Boultam
21 Manuel Pedreño
4 Nikola Motika
20 Nemanja Motika
22 D. Pintol
28 B. Caciel
36 G. Lubej Fink

Coach: Víctor Sánchez

HNK Rijeka

4-1-4-1
13 M. Zlomislić G
28 I. Smolčić D
5 N. Galešić D
6 S. Radeljić D
34 M. Devetak D
8 D. Petrovič M
87 Marco Pašalić M
25 V. Hodža M
10 T. Fruk M
4 N. Janković M
11 F. Ivanović F
Bench (12)
7 N. Djouahra
18 L. Selahi
45 A. Majstorović
30 B. Bogojević
9 K. Andrić
29 A. Babić
27 Š. Butić
12 E. Banda
32 M. Čabraja
41 G. Rukavina
1 J. Posavec
21 S. Ilinković

Coach: D. Raić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

U Schnyder · 156 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.