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Conference League
Referee: J Pignard
St. Gallen
U U S S U
2–2
Full-time
TSC Backa Topola
T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gallen TSC Backa Topola
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,7
4,2
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,2
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 9/3 matches
Win Ø 39%
44%
33%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
56%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,6
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

3,64 xG 2,42
47% Possession 53%
24 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 6
6 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

St. Gallen TSC Backa Topola
17′
🟨 Nemanja Petrović
1–0 M. Cisse ⚽
C. Witzig
31′
40′
⚽ M. Pantović 1–1
N. Petrović
Half-time 1–1
Hugo Vandermersch 🟨
52′
53′
⚽ M. Pantović 1–2
Lukas Görtler 🟨
56′
2–2 C. Konietzke ⚽
H. Vandermersch
65′
66′
🟨 Veljko Ilić
66′
🔁 I. Milosavljević
↦ M. Banjac
C. Akolo 🔁
↦ M. Cisse
70′
F. Mambimbi 🔁
↦ C. Witzig
71′
K. Csoboth 🔁
↦ B. Toma
74′
85′
🔁 M. Lazetić
↦ P. Stanić
89′
🔁 B. Sós
↦ A. Ćirković
Víctor Ruiz 🔁
↦ C. Konietzke
90′
95′
🟨 Marko Lazetić
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

St. Gallen

4-3-2-1
1 L. Zigi G
28 H. Vandermersch D
15 A. Diaby D
20 A. Vallci D
36 C. Okoroji D
16 L. Görtler M
64 M. Stevanović M
63 C. Konietzke M
24 B. Toma M
7 C. Witzig M
11 M. Cisse F
Bench (11)
10 C. Akolo
18 F. Mambimbi
77 K. Csoboth
30 Víctor Ruiz
14 N. Yannick
8 Jordi Quintillà
25 L. Watkowiak
22 K. Faber
4 J. Stanić
35 B. Dumrath
5 S. Ambrosius

Coach: E. Maaßen

TSC Backa Topola

4-1-4-1
12 V. Ilić G
22 Stefan Jovanović D
25 M. Đorđević D
5 D. Stevanović D
30 N. Petrović D
6 A. Pejić M
18 M. Banjac M
35 I. Đakovac M
14 P. Stanić M
10 A. Ćirković M
27 M. Pantović F
Bench (8)
11 I. Milosavljević
9 M. Lazetić
88 B. Sós
4 V. Krstić
31 L. Capan
24 Đ. Gordić
1 N. Simić
23 N. Jorgić

Coach: J. Damjanović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Pignard · 145 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.