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Europa League
Referee: L Visser
Man United
S U S S U
3–2
Full-time
Bodo/Glimt
T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man United Bodo/Glimt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,8
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
25%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
25%
75%
Both score Ø 75%
75%
75%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

2,95 xG 0,77
72% Possession 28%
20 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 1
0 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Man United Bodo/Glimt
1–0 A. Garnacho ⚽
R. Højlund
1′
19′
⚽ H. Evjen 1–1
S. Fet
23′
⚽ P. Zinckernagel 1–2
P. Berg
31′
🟨 Andreas Helmersen
2–2 R. Højlund ⚽
N. Mazraoui
45′
Half-time 2–2
Diogo Dalot 🔁
↦ T. Malacia
46′
3–2 R. Højlund ⚽
M. Ugarte
50′
M. Rashford 🔁
↦ M. Mount
59′
L. Shaw 🔁
↦ Lisandro Martínez
60′
A. Diallo 🔁
↦ Antony
60′
63′
🔁 F. Sjøvold
↦ B. Wembangomo
63′
🔁 K. Høgh
↦ A. Helmersen
Casemiro 🔁
↦ M. de Ligt
66′
72′
🔁 I. Määttä
↦ P. Zinckernagel
72′
🔁 U. Saltnes
↦ S. Fet
83′
🔁 S. Auklend
↦ H. Evjen
André Onana 🟨
89′
Casemiro 🟨
91′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Man United

3-4-2-1
24 A. Onana G
3 N. Mazraoui D
4 M. de Ligt D
6 Lisandro Martínez D
21 Antony M
25 M. Ugarte M
8 Bruno Fernandes M
12 T. Malacia M
7 M. Mount F
17 A. Garnacho F
9 R. Højlund F
Bench (10)
20 Diogo Dalot
10 M. Rashford
23 L. Shaw
16 A. Diallo
18 Casemiro
11 J. Zirkzee
14 C. Eriksen
1 A. Bayındır
37 K. Mainoo
22 T. Heaton

Coach: Ruben Amorim

Bodo/Glimt

4-3-3
12 N. Haikin G
5 B. Wembangomo D
4 O. Bjørtuft D
6 J. Gundersen D
15 F. Bjørkan D
26 H. Evjen M
7 P. Berg M
19 S. Fet M
77 P. Zinckernagel F
21 A. Helmersen F
23 J. Hauge F
Bench (12)
20 F. Sjøvold
9 K. Høgh
25 I. Määttä
14 U. Saltnes
8 S. Auklend
18 B. Moe
11 R. Espejord
27 S. Sørli
94 A. Mikkelsen
1 J. Faye Lund
30 A. Sørensen
2 V. Nielsen

Coach: K. Knutsen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Visser · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.