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Conference League
Referee: D Sylwestrzak
Molde
S U T U S
0–1
Full-time
Apoel Nicosia
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Apoel Nicosia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,67 xG 0,48
58% Possession 42%
11 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Molde Apoel Nicosia
8′
🟨 Anastasios Donis
Mats Møller Dæhli 🟨
30′
41′
K. Laifis 0–1
Sergio Tejera
Half-time 0–1
Isak Helstad Amundsen 🟨
50′
M. Linnes 🔁
↦ M. Løvik
60′
K. Haugen 🔁
↦ H. Stenevik
60′
M. Kaasa 🔁
↦ M. Møller Dæhli
60′
63′
🟨 Radosav Petrović
67′
🟨 Dieumerci Ndongala
67′
🔁 Marquinhos
↦ A. Donis
Kristoffer Haugen 🟨
70′
S. Granaas 🔁
↦ E. Breivik
74′
F. Ihler 🔁
↦ I. Amundsen
74′
76′
🔁 A. Bah
↦ D. Ndongala
76′
🔁 P. Polycarpou
↦ G. Satsias
88′
🟨 Algassime Bah
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Molde

3-5-2
22 A. Posiadała G
26 I. Amundsen D
25 A. Hagelskjær D
4 V. Lund D
18 H. Stenevik M
20 K. Eriksen M
17 M. Møller Dæhli M
16 E. Breivik M
31 M. Løvik M
27 O. Brynhildsen F
10 M. Enggård F
Bench (12)
21 M. Linnes
28 K. Haugen
15 M. Kaasa
23 S. Granaas
9 F. Ihler
8 F. Gulbrandsen
33 N. Ødegård
34 S. McDermott
19 E. Haugan
2 M. Bjørnbak
29 G. Nyheim
32 P. Lervik

Coach: E. Moe

Apoel Nicosia

5-3-2
27 V. Belec G
29 I. Chebake D
16 M. Sušić D
3 R. Petrović D
34 K. Laifis D
19 Xavi Quintillà D
17 D. Abagna M
18 G. Satsias M
8 Sergio Tejera M
77 D. Ndongala F
11 A. Donis F
Bench (8)
10 Marquinhos
12 A. Bah
35 P. Polycarpou
5 L. Dvali
22 A. Christodoulou
23 P. Kattirtzis
78 S. Michos
7 M. Meyer

Coach: Manolo Jiménez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Sylwestrzak · 101 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.