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Europa League
Referee: G Nyberg
Tottenham
S S T T S
2–2
Full-time
Roma
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tottenham Roma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
75%
25%
Points per game
2,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
75%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
1,5
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

3,74 xG 2,29
50% Possession 50%
24 Shots 18
12 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 9
7 Corners 6
0 Offside 9
9 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Tottenham Roma
Pape Matar Sarr ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
4′
1–0 Son Heung-Min ⚽
5′
20′
⚽ E. Ndicka 1–1
P. Dybala
24′
ℹ️ Stephan El Shaarawy
VAR: Goal cancelled
Dejan Kulusevski 🟨
28′
28′
🟨 Leandro Paredes
2–1 B. Johnson ⚽
D. Kulusevski
33′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 M. Soulé
↦ P. Dybala
65′
🔁 N. Zalewski
↦ Z. Çelik
J. Maddison 🔁
↦ B. Johnson
68′
Y. Bissouma 🔁
↦ P. Sarr
69′
69′
🔁 A. Saelemaekers
↦ S. El Shaarawy
Rodrigo Bentancur 🟨
72′
L. Bergvall 🔁
↦ R. Bentancur
77′
T. Werner 🔁
↦ Son Heung-Min
78′
91′
⚽ M. Hummels 2–2
Angeliño
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Tottenham

4-3-3
20 F. Forster G
23 Pedro Porro D
6 R. Drăgușin D
33 B. Davies D
14 A. Gray D
21 D. Kulusevski M
30 R. Bentancur M
29 P. Sarr M
22 B. Johnson F
19 D. Solanke F
7 Son Heung-Min F
Bench (11)
10 J. Maddison
8 Y. Bissouma
15 L. Bergvall
16 T. Werner
13 D. Udogie
40 B. Austin
78 L. Williams-Barnett
64 C. Olusesi
74 Maeson King
41 A. Whiteman
79 M. Hardy

Coach: A. Postecoglou

Roma

3-4-2-1
99 M. Svilar G
23 G. Mancini D
15 M. Hummels D
5 E. Ndicka D
19 Z. Çelik M
16 L. Paredes M
17 M. Koné M
3 Angeliño M
21 P. Dybala F
92 S. El Shaarawy F
11 A. Dovbyk F
Bench (12)
18 M. Soulé
59 N. Zalewski
56 A. Saelemaekers
12 Saud Abdulhamid
28 E. Le Fée
7 L. Pellegrini
89 R. Bellucci
98 M. Ryan
66 Buba Sangaré
61 N. Pisilli
35 T. Baldanzi
4 B. Cristante

Coach: C. Ranieri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Nyberg · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.