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Europa League
Referee: Ivan Kružliak
CSKA Sofia
U U S T T
0–2
Full-time
OFI Crete
T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

CSKA Sofia OFI Crete
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,7
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/1 matches
Win Ø 72%
43%
100%
Points per game
1,6
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 86%
71%
100%
Both score Ø 22%
43%
0%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
1,3
3,0
Conceded
1,3
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
6 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 3
7 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

CSKA Sofia OFI Crete
21′
🟨 Dimitrios Nikolaou
36′
T. Nuss 0–1
A. Poungouras
Cătălin Itu 🟨
40′
Bruno Jordão 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–1
I. Solet 🔁
↦ Pastor
46′
J. Zwarts 🔁
↦ B. Jordao
46′
P. Panayotov 🔁
↦ C. Itu
56′
71′
🔁 I. Apostolakis
↦ A. Cantalapiedra
Leo Pereira 🔁
↦ I. Pittas
73′
77′
🔁 Z. Karachalios
↦ A. Bouchalakis
77′
🔁 I. Theodosoulakis
↦ T. Nuss
78′
I. Theodosoulakis 0–2
I. Apostolakis
A. Yordanov 🔁
↦ A. Martino
84′
84′
🔁 B. Gonzalez
↦ L. Dickmann
84′
🔁 K. Krizmanic
↦ C. Sielis
James Eto'o 🟨
88′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

CSKA Sofia

5-3-2
21 F. Lapoukhov G
2 Pastor D
5 J. Gbamin D
6 B. Jordao M
14 T. Ivanov D
17 A. Martino D
67 C. Itu M
99 J. Eto'o M
7 M. Ebong M
28 I. Pittas F
9 L. Godoy F
Bench (12)
31 D. Nikolov
25 D. Evtimov
19 A. Yordanov
32 F. Rodriguez
91 A. Tunchev
3 T. Ouorou
94 I. Solet
30 P. Panayotov
80 G. B. Chorbadzhiyski
34 V. Kaymakanov
38 Leo Pereira
10 J. Zwarts

Coach: Hristo Yanev

OFI Crete

3-4-3
31 N. Christogeorgos G
16 C. Sielis D
15 A. Poungouras D
43 D. Nikolaou D
24 L. Dickmann D
14 A. Androutsos M
41 A. Bouchalakis M
3 N. Athanasiou M
11 T. Fountas F
18 T. Nuss M
10 A. Cantalapiedra M
Bench (12)
13 P. Katsikas
1 K. Lilo
17 B. Gonzalez
2 K. Krizmanic
90 P. Kenourgiakis
8 G. Kanellopoulos
91 E. Chnaris
6 Z. Karachalios
21 I. Apostolakis
71 A. Sitmalidis
46 I. Theodosoulakis
30 T. Romano

Coach: Christos Kontis

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.