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Champions League
Referee: Davide Massa
Kauno Žalgiris
U S U S T
1–2
Full-time
Dinamo Zagreb
T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kauno Žalgiris Dinamo Zagreb
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
4,0
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/3 matches
Win Ø 54%
40%
67%
Points per game
1,6
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
40%
67%
Both score Ø 54%
40%
67%
Average goals
2,6
4,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

61% Possession 39%
7 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 4
8 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Aug -26 Dinamo Zagreb – Kauno Žalgiris 5–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Davide Massa · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.