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Champions League
Referee: Samuel Barrott
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Shamrock Rovers Ararat-Armenia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match report

Shamrock Rovers Ararat-Armenia
1–0 M. Healy
A. Greene
11′
2–0 A. Greene
J. Byrne
36′
Half-time 2–0
50′
🟨 Junior Julio
Pico 🟨
58′
72′
🔁 Franca Carlos
↦ A. Serobyan
73′
Sandro Lima 2–1
E. Stevens 🔁
↦ J. Mulraney
77′
J. Afolabi 🔁
↦ A. Greene
77′
81′
🟨 Bruno Wilson
82′
🟨 Carlos França
84′
🔁 M. Ayvazyan
↦ M. Carlier
84′
🔁 Z. Shaghoyan
↦ Z. Banjaqui
D. Mandroiu 🔁
↦ L. Grace
85′
N. Razi 🔁
↦ D. Watts
85′
M. Noonan 🔁
↦ G. Burke
88′
94′
🔁 A. Ndour
↦ Sandro Lima
94′
🔁 Luis Felipe
↦ H. Oliveira
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Shamrock Rovers

3-5-2
1 E. McGinty G
11 J. Mulraney M
4 R. Lopes D
5 L. Grace D
22 T. Sobowale D
7 D. Watts M
8 M. Healy M
29 J. Byrne M
19 A. Brennan M
9 A. Greene F
10 G. Burke F
Bench (12)
41 A. Noonan
2 A. Matthews
3 E. Stevens
14 D. Mandroiu
17 L. O'Regan
18 J. Afolabi
26 J. O'Sullivan
27 C. O'Sullivan
28 N. Razi
31 M. Noonan
33 C. Barrett
38 M. Kovalevskis

Coach: Stephen Bradley

Ararat-Armenia

3-4-3
98 Joao Bravim G
3 Junior Julio D
43 B. R. Wilson Valdez D
47 A. Malis D
2 H. Oliveira D
17 M. Carlier M
19 K. Muradyan M
16 E. Grigoryan D
77 A. Serobyan M
91 Sandro Lima F
11 Z. Banjaqui M
Bench (10)
1 A. Nersesyan
6 M. Ayvazyan
7 Z. Shaghoyan
9 A. Eloyan
20 A. Tera
25 A. Ndour
90 P. Ayongo
5 Luis Felipe
14 B. Pereira
95 Franca Carlos

Coach: Tulipa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.