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Champions League
Referee: Marco Guida
Celje
T S U U T
2–0
Full-time
Ararat-Armenia
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celje Ararat-Armenia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
0%
60%
Points per game
0,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
67%
60%
Both score Ø 80%
100%
60%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
8 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 4
12 Corners 9
3 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 13
5 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

4. Aug -26 Ararat-Armenia – Celje 2–1

Match report

Celje Ararat-Armenia
19′
🟨 Alwyn Tera
19′
🟨 Hugo Oliveira
Leonardo Koutris 🟨
32′
Half-time 0–0
B. Verbic 🔁
↦ L. Koutris
46′
55′
🔁 Benny
↦ A. Tera
Artemijus Tutyškinas 🟨
64′
Milot Avdyli 🟨
66′
Y. Dukuly 🔁
↦ P. Sirvys
69′
M. Poplatnik 🔁
↦ A. Kucys
69′
73′
🔁 M. Carlier
↦ H. Oliveira
73′
🔁 Franca Carlos
↦ A. Serobyan
Mark Zabukovnik 🟨
79′
1–0 Y. Dukuly ⚽
M. Avdyli
83′
2–0 B. Verbic ⚽
85′
Benjamin Verbič 🟨
86′
89′
🔁 A. Ndour
↦ Z. Banjaqui
90′
🔁 J. A. Balanta
↦ K. Muradyan
I. Calusic 🔁
↦ S. Seslar
91′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Celje

4-3-3
1 Z. Leban G
2 P. Sirvys D
4 D. Hrka M
6 A. Tutyskinas D
33 L. Koutris D
8 M. Kvesic M
19 M. Zabukovnik M
10 S. Seslar M
77 M. Ivansek M
47 A. Kucys F
11 M. Avdyli M
Bench (11)
12 L. Kolar
23 Z. Frelih
3 D. Vuklisevic
7 B. Verbic
17 A. Kotnik
20 A. Dionkou
25 V. Tusha
27 I. Calusic
91 Y. Dukuly
94 R. Pozeg
99 M. Poplatnik

Coach: Vitor Campelos

Ararat-Armenia

4-3-3
98 Joao Bravim G
3 Junior Julio D
43 B. R. Wilson Valdez D
47 A. Malis D
16 E. Grigoryan D
2 H. Oliveira D
19 K. Muradyan M
20 A. Tera M
77 A. Serobyan M
91 Sandro Lima F
11 Z. Banjaqui M
Bench (12)
1 A. Nersesyan
5 Luis Felipe
6 M. Ayvazyan
7 Z. Shaghoyan
8 J. A. Balanta
9 A. Eloyan
14 B. Pereira
17 M. Carlier
25 A. Ndour
70 Benny
90 P. Ayongo
95 Franca Carlos

Coach: Tulipa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Marco Guida · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.