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Europa League
Referee: A Stavrev
Rīgas FS
S T T U T
1–1
Full-time
Anderlecht
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rīgas FS Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
2,2
2,7
Conceded
1,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 7/5 matches
Win Ø 72%
43%
100%
Points per game
1,4
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
71%
40%
Both score Ø 49%
57%
40%
Average goals
3,6
2,0
Scored
2,1
1,6
Conceded
1,4
0,4
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,86 xG 0,58
33% Possession 67%
7 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 9
3 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Stavrev · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.