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Europa League
Referee: F Glova
Rīgas FS
S S S T T
2–2
Full-time
Galatasaray
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rīgas FS Galatasaray
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
4,0
4,8
Scored
2,3
3,7
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+2,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 5/1 matches
Win Ø 80%
60%
100%
Points per game
1,8
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 90%
80%
100%
Both score Ø 80%
60%
100%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
2,6
3,0
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

1,19 xG 2,35
25% Possession 75%
8 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 7
2 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Rīgas FS Galatasaray
12′
⚽ D. Mertens 0–1
18′
🟨 Yunus Akgün
D. Zelenkovs 🔁
↦ R. Ndjiki
26′
Stefan Panić 🟨
30′
38′
⚽ Y. Akgün 0–2
D. Sánchez
1–2 J. Ikaunieks ⚽
40′
Half-time 1–2
D. Balodis 🔁
↦ R. Savaļnieks
46′
2–2 L. Odisharia ⚽
54′
64′
🔁 M. Batshuayi
↦ K. Ayhan
77′
🔁 K. Demirbay
↦ L. Torreira
V. Osuagwu 🔁
↦ C. Kouadio
78′
Jānis Ikaunieks 🟨
83′
85′
🟨 Kerem Demirbay
86′
🔁 B. Kutlu
↦ A. Bardakcı
86′
🔁 Y. Demir
↦ D. Mertens
E. Stuglis 🔁
↦ L. Odisharia
94′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Rīgas FS

4-2-3-1
40 F. Ondoa G
11 R. Savaļnieks D
23 H. Prenga D
43 Ž. Lipušček D
30 H. Njie D
27 A. Markhiev M
26 S. Panič M
8 L. Odisharia M
9 J. Ikaunieks M
17 C. Kouadio M
15 R. Ndjiki F
Bench (10)
18 D. Zelenkovs
2 D. Balodis
3 V. Osuagwu
21 E. Stuglis
25 P. Mareš
16 S. Vilkovs
49 M. Ķigurs
1 P. Šteinbors
22 D. Lemajič
77 L. Silagadze

Coach: V. Morozs

Galatasaray

4-2-3-1
19 G. Güvenç G
23 K. Ayhan D
6 D. Sánchez D
42 A. Bardakcı D
4 I. Jakobs D
34 L. Torreira M
20 Gabriel Sara M
53 B. Yılmaz M
10 D. Mertens M
11 Y. Akgün M
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (12)
44 M. Batshuayi
8 K. Demirbay
18 B. Kutlu
30 Y. Demir
83 E. Akman
38 A. Ordu
67 B. Luş
25 V. Nelsson
24 E. Jelert
60 H. Yükseloğlu
90 M. Baltacı
12 B. Şen

Coach: O. Buruk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

F Glova · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.