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Europa League
Referee: J Xhaja
Elfsborg
T T T S S
1–1
Full-time
Sp Braga
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elfsborg Sp Braga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,2
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 11/9 matches
Win Ø 60%
64%
56%
Points per game
2,0
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
36%
78%
Both score Ø 46%
36%
56%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
1,9
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,63 xG 1,18
37% Possession 63%
7 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Elfsborg Sp Braga
Andri Baldursson 🟨
14′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 A. El Ouazzani
↦ Roberto Fernández
61′
🔁 Bruma
↦ Ismaël Gharbi
66′
⚽ T. Ouma 1–0
own goal
68′
🔁 André Horta
↦ João Moutinho
68′
🔁 J. Gorby
↦ Vitor Carvalho
R. Kaib 🔁
↦ A. Qasem
75′
E. Holten 🔁
↦ M. Baidoo
76′
G. Rapp 🔁
↦ A. Zeneli
76′
2–0 E. Holten ⚽
G. Rapp
84′
87′
🔁 João Marques
↦ Ricardo Horta
Simon Hedlund 🟨
90′
92′
🟨 Joao Marques
93′
🟨 Paulo Oliveira
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Elfsborg

3-4-3
31 I. Pettersson G
29 I. Buhari D
8 S. Holmén D
2 T. Yegbe D
15 S. Hedlund M
16 T. Ouma M
6 A. Baldursson M
23 N. Hult M
9 A. Zeneli F
10 M. Baidoo F
18 A. Qasem F
Bench (12)
19 R. Kaib
12 E. Holten
20 G. Rapp
28 L. Östman
13 J. Larsson
1 M. Uppenberg
4 G. Henriksson
26 L. Richtnér
7 J. Thomasen
30 M. Bundgaard
14 J. Abdullai
11 E. Guðmundsson

Coach: O. Hiljemark

Sp Braga

3-4-2-1
91 L. Horníček G
13 João Ferreira D
15 Paulo Oliveira D
26 B. Arrey-Mbi D
11 Roger Fernandes M
6 Vitor Carvalho M
8 João Moutinho M
77 Gabri Martínez M
21 Ricardo Horta F
20 Ismaël Gharbi F
90 Roberto Fernández F
Bench (12)
9 A. El Ouazzani
7 Bruma
10 André Horta
29 J. Gorby
33 João Marques
25 Yuri Ribeiro
2 Víctor Gómez
1 Matheus
27 R. Guitane
3 Robson Bambu
12 Tiago Sá
19 Adrián Marín

Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Xhaja · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.