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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernandez

Betis

T S S S T

1–0

Full-time

Real Madrid

S S S S S

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

67%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

1,5

2,8

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+2,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 84%

67%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

1,3

3,3

Conceded

1,7

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+2,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%

10 Shots 20

5 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 10

1 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Betis 7. · Real Madrid 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+10	+9.4	9
2	Real Madrid	3	3	0	0	+8	+6.1	9
3	Ath Madrid	3	2	1	0	+4	-2.0	7
4	Alaves	3	2	1	0	+4	+2.7	7
5	Osasuna	3	2	1	0	+2	+2.9	7
6	Sevilla	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.6	6
7	Betis	3	2	0	1	-1	-1.4	6
8	La Coruna	3	1	2	0	+2	-1.7	5
9	Levante	3	1	1	1	+0	+0.2	4
10	Santander	3	1	1	1	+0	+2.0	4
11	Sociedad	4	1	1	2	-3	-1.4	4
12	Espanol	3	1	0	2	+1	-1.4	3
13	Ath Bilbao	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.1	3
14	Getafe	3	1	0	2	-3	-2.8	3
15	Villarreal	3	0	2	1	-1	+2.2	2
16	Celta	4	0	2	2	-3	-4.4	2
17	Valencia	3	0	1	2	-3	+0.3	1
18	Vallecano	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.6	1
19	Elche	3	0	1	2	-6	-3.5	1
20	Malaga	3	0	1	2	-6	-1.9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+7	+4.5	6
2	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+5	+5.7	6
3	Alaves	2	2	0	0	+4	+1.1	6
4	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	-2.0	4
5	La Coruna	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.9	4
6	Santander	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.9	4
7	Sociedad	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.1	4
8	Osasuna	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.4	4
9	Levante	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.8	3
10	Espanol	2	1	0	1	+2	-0.4	3
11	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
12	Getafe	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.1	3
13	Sevilla	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.3	3
14	Vallecano	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.6	1
15	Malaga	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.8	1
16	Valencia	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.3	1
17	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.8	0
18	Celta	2	0	0	2	-3	-4.5	0
19	Elche	1	0	0	1	-5	-3.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+5	+3.7	3
2	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.8	3
3	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.0	3
4	Osasuna	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.5	3
5	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.7	3
6	Ath Bilbao	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.0	3
7	Betis	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.2	3
8	Celta	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.1	2
9	Villarreal	3	0	2	1	-1	+2.2	2
10	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.6	1
11	La Coruna	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.8	1
12	Elche	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.2	1
13	Levante	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.7	1
14	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
15	Santander	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
16	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.0	0
17	Vallecano	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.0	0
18	Sociedad	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.4	0
19	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-4	-2.7	0
20	Malaga	2	0	0	2	-6	-2.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Apr -26 Betis – Real Madrid 1–1 4. Jan -26 Real Madrid – Betis 5–1 1. Mar -25 Betis – Real Madrid 2–1 1. Sep -24 Real Madrid – Betis 2–0 25. May -24 Real Madrid – Betis 0–0

Match report

Betis Real Madrid

Marc Bartra 🔁

↦ Diego Llorente

39′

Half-time 0–0

48′

🟨 Arda Güler

54′

🟨 Ibrahima Konaté

54′

🟨 José Mário dos Santos Mourinho Félix

Álvaro Fidalgo 🔁

↦ Isco

60′

61′

🟨 Eduardo Camavinga

Facundo Bernal 🟨

64′

🔁 Bernardo Silva

↦ Eduardo Camavinga

64′

🔁 Trent Alexander-Arnold

↦ Denzel Dumfries

64′

🔁 Yan Diomande

↦ Arda Güler

Nelson Deossa 🔁

↦ Facundo Bernal

68′

Troy Parrott 🔁

↦ Cucho Hernández

68′

Rodrigo Riquelme 🔁

↦ Antony Matheus dos Santos

77′

1–0 Troy Parrott ⚽

81′

82′

🔁 Carlos Espí

↦ Federico Valverde

Marc Roca 🟨

83′

88′

🔁 Álvaro Fernández Carreras

↦ Marc Cucurella

89′

ℹ️ Carlos Espí

VAR: Goal cancelled

Natan Bernardo de Souza 🟨

93′

94′

❌ Kylian Mbappé

penalty missed

Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Betis

4-2-3-1

Álvaro Vallés G

Héctor Bellerín D

Diego Llorente D

Natan D

Fran García D

Marc Roca M

F. Bernal M

Antony M

Isco M

Pablo Fornals M

C. Hernández F

Bench (12)

18 N. Deossa

17 Rodrigo Riquelme

40 A. de Pablo

15 Álvaro Fidalgo

23 Junior Firpo

16 V. Gómez

31 Manu González

14 Iker Losada

27 J. A. Morante

12 Ángel Ortiz

19 T. Parrott

5 Marc Bartra

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Real Madrid

4-2-3-1

T. Courtois G

D. Dumfries D

I. Konaté D

D. Huijsen D

Marc Cucurella D

F. Valverde M

E. Camavinga M

A. Güler M

J. Bellingham M

Vinícius Júnior M

Kylian Mbappé F

Bench (12)

20 Bernardo Silva

25 Y. Diomande

22 A. Rüdiger

33 Mario Rivas

31 Javier Navarro

38 S. Martinez

13 A. Lunin

19 Carlos Espí

21 Brahim Díaz

29 J. Cestero Sancho

18 Álvaro Fernández

12 T. Alexander-Arnold

Coach: José Mourinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

6,33

🔒

Superbet 7,00 10Bet 6,50 Unibet 6,50 Betfair 6,50 BetVictor 6,50 1xBet 6,40 Pinnacle 6,34 Marathonbet 6,30 Dafabet 6,20 Bet365 6,00 Betano 6,00 SBO 5,90 William Hill 5,50

5,06

🔒

Dafabet 5,40 Superbet 5,35 Betano 5,30 1xBet 5,28 10Bet 5,20 Marathonbet 5,20 Pinnacle 5,15 Bet365 5,00 Unibet 5,00 Betfair 5,00 BetVictor 5,00 William Hill 4,80 SBO 4,69

1,42

🔒

Betano 1,50 1xBet 1,49 Marathonbet 1,47 Pinnacle 1,46 Dafabet 1,45 Bet365 1,44 BetVictor 1,44 William Hill 1,44 Unibet 1,42 Betfair 1,40 Superbet 1,40 10Bet 1,38 SBO 1,34

Over/under goals

O1,5

1,10

🔒