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Primeira Liga
Referee: Luís Godinho
Porto
U S S T S
2–0
Full-time
Alverca
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Porto Alverca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,61 xG 1,60
54% Possession 46%
10 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 9
13 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

2. May -26 Porto – Alverca 1–0 22. Dec -25 Alverca – Porto 0–3

Match report

Porto Alverca
André Silva ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
5′
8′
🟨 Matheus Mendes
1–0 Andre Silva ⚽
9′
André Silva ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
40′
43′
🟨 Nabil Touaizi
2–0 G. Veiga ⚽
44′
Half-time 2–0
52′
🟨 Yaya Bojang
P. Rosario 🔁
↦ A. Varela
58′
B. Sainz 🔁
↦ William Gomes
58′
60′
🔁 S. J. Merheg
↦ V. Semedo
60′
🔁 Chissumba
↦ Y. Bojang
N. Perez 🔁
↦ M. Fernandes
74′
74′
🔁 Z. Kassary
↦ Ian Luccas
R. Mora 🔁
↦ G. Veiga
75′
79′
🔁 M. Essimi
↦ Figueiredo
D. Gul 🔁
↦ Andre Silva
82′
89′
🟨 Chiquinho
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Porto

4-3-3
99 D. Costa G
52 M. Fernandes D
5 J. Bednarek D
4 J. Kiwior D
12 Zaidu D
8 V. Froholdt M
22 A. Varela M
10 G. Veiga M
7 William Gomes F
19 Andre Silva F
11 Pepê F
Bench (12)
24 J. Costa
50 J. Afonso
6 S. Eustaquio
18 N. Perez
21 D. Prpic
27 D. Gul
16 Hwang In-Beom
13 P. Rosario
74 F. Moura
17 B. Sainz
86 R. Mora
57 D. Cunha

Coach: Francesco Farioli

Alverca

3-4-3
31 Matheus Mendes G
14 S. Baseya D
4 Y. Bojang D
33 B. Meupiyou D
2 N. Touaizi M
25 Ian Luccas M
6 D. Gui M
12 I. James M
10 Chiquinho F
9 V. Semedo F
22 Figueiredo F
Bench (12)
91 Jhonatan Luiz
21 S. Gomez
19 M. Essimi
17 S. J. Merheg
55 Chissumba
20 D. Spencer
11 C. Nuozzi
8 V. Moreira
30 A. Soumare
15 I. Julian
27 T. Tamarit
18 Z. Kassary

Coach: Sergio Ferreira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,17
🔒
U
6,40
🔒
B
13,33
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,54
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,35
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Luís Godinho · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.