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Champions League
Referee: I Vad II
Lincoln Red Imps FC
T T T S T
0–2
Full-time
Qarabag
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lincoln Red Imps FC Qarabag
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,5
4,5
Scored
0,5
2,3
Conceded
2,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Jul -23 Qarabag – Lincoln Red Imps FC 4–0 11. Jul -23 Lincoln Red Imps FC – Qarabag 1–2

Match report

Lincoln Red Imps FC Qarabag
Half-time 0–0
I. Ayew 🔁
↦ J. Valarino
46′
47′
⚽ Juninho 0–1
Y. Benzia
K. Gómez 🔁
↦ Toni García
66′
Víctor Villacañas 🔁
↦ Rafael Muñoz
66′
Ethan Britto 🟨
72′
Graeme Torrilla 🟨
73′
75′
⚽ T. Bayramov 0–2
Júlio Romão
M. Yahaya 🔁
↦ G. Torrilla
77′
Pedro Martín 🔁
↦ E. Britto
79′
83′
🔁 H. Keyta
↦ Y. Benzia
83′
🔁 Matheus Silva
↦ M. Vešović
83′
🔁 Patrick Andrade
↦ M. Janković
84′
🔁 N. Axundzadə
↦ A. Zoubir
84′
🔁 A. Isaev
↦ Júlio Romão
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Lincoln Red Imps FC

4-1-3-2
1 Nauzet García G
24 J. Sergeant D
6 B. Lopes M
21 Nano M
20 E. Britto D
15 Rafael Muñoz D
10 T. De Barr F
23 Joe D
22 G. Torrilla M
11 J. Valarino M
18 Toni García M
Bench (11)
5 I. Ayew
9 K. Gómez
70 Víctor Villacañas
8 M. Yahaya
17 Pedro Martín
33 D. Burnet
27 J. Hankins
30 Carlos Cid
13 Iván Villanueva
19 K. Clinton
31 J. Sciortino

Coach: Javi Muñoz

Qarabag

4-3-3
97 F. Buntić G
27 T. Bayramov D
81 K. Medina D
13 B. Mustafazadə D
29 M. Vešović D
8 M. Janković M
7 Y. Benzia M
6 Júlio Romão M
10 A. Zoubir M
18 Juninho F
15 Leandro Andrade M
Bench (11)
17 H. Keyta
2 Matheus Silva
66 Patrick Andrade
90 N. Axundzadə
24 A. Isaev
19 R. Xhixha
20 R. Almeyda
30 A. Hüseynov
1 Ş. Məhəmmədəliyev
55 B. Hüseynov
12 S. Məmmədzadə

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Vad II · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.