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Champions League
Referee: J Sundberg
Qarabag
S T U T S
5–0
Full-time
Lincoln Red Imps FC
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Qarabag Lincoln Red Imps FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
4,2
2,3
Scored
2,3
0,3
Conceded
1,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 1/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,3
Scored
2,0
0,3
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Jul -24 Lincoln Red Imps FC – Qarabag 0–2 19. Jul -23 Qarabag – Lincoln Red Imps FC 4–0 11. Jul -23 Lincoln Red Imps FC – Qarabag 1–2

Match report

Qarabag Lincoln Red Imps FC
1–0 Juninho ⚽
M. Janković
17′
2–0 Juninho ⚽
T. Bayramov
31′
3–0 Juninho ⚽
A. Zoubir
44′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 K. Gómez
↦ Pedro Martín
58′
🔁 Joe
↦ M. Yahaya
58′
🔁 Carlos Cid
↦ E. Britto
63′
🔁 Toni García
↦ J. Valarino
4–0 Y. Benzia ⚽
Juninho
66′
Matheus Silva 🔁
↦ M. Vešović
71′
B. Hüseynov 🔁
↦ B. Mustafazadə
71′
5–0 Leandro Andrade ⚽
Júlio Romão
72′
76′
🔁 L. Casciaro
↦ J. Sergeant
77′
🟨 Lee Casciaro
N. Axundzadə 🔁
↦ Juninho
80′
H. Keyta 🔁
↦ A. Zoubir
80′
R. Xhixha 🔁
↦ Leandro Andrade
80′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Qarabag

4-2-3-1
97 F. Buntić G
29 M. Vešović D
13 B. Mustafazadə D
81 K. Medina D
27 T. Bayramov D
6 Júlio Romão M
8 M. Janković M
15 Leandro Andrade M
7 Y. Benzia M
10 A. Zoubir M
18 Juninho F
Bench (11)
2 Matheus Silva
55 B. Hüseynov
90 N. Axundzadə
17 H. Keyta
19 R. Xhixha
24 A. Isaev
12 S. Məmmədzadə
1 Ş. Məhəmmədəliyev
20 R. Almeyda
30 A. Hüseynov
66 Patrick Andrade

Coach: Q. Qurbanov

Lincoln Red Imps FC

4-3-3
1 Nauzet García G
24 J. Sergeant D
15 Rafael Muñoz D
6 B. Lopes M
5 I. Ayew D
22 G. Torrilla M
8 M. Yahaya M
21 Nano M
20 E. Britto D
17 Pedro Martín F
11 J. Valarino M
Bench (11)
9 K. Gómez
23 Joe
30 Carlos Cid
18 Toni García
7 L. Casciaro
27 J. Hankins
19 K. Clinton
33 D. Burnet
10 T. De Barr
13 Iván Villanueva
70 Víctor Villacañas

Coach: Javi Muñoz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Sundberg · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.