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Pro League

Referee: J Boterberg

Dender

S U T T T

2–2

Full-time

Charleroi

U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dender Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 21/18 matches

Win Ø 19%

10%

28%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

52%

50%

Both score Ø 62%

62%

61%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,9

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,93 xG 2,27

43% Possession 57%

15 Shots 22

5 Shots on target 7

6 Blocked shots 7

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 13

1 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dender 16. · Charleroi 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	19	15	1	3	+19	+7.8	46
2	St. Gilloise	18	11	7	0	+23	+18.9	40
3	St Truiden	18	12	2	4	+12	+15.7	38
4	Mechelen	20	10	7	3	+11	-4.3	37
5	Gent	17	9	2	6	+4	+1.1	29
6	Anderlecht	19	7	6	6	+4	+4.5	27
7	Antwerp	20	7	5	8	+2	-2.8	26
8	Genk	16	7	4	5	+4	+2.6	25
9	Cercle Brugge	22	6	6	10	-5	-0.9	24
10	Westerlo	19	5	7	7	-6	+1.4	22
11	Waregem	21	6	3	12	-8	-6.1	21
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	20	5	6	9	-9	-4.8	21
13	RAAL La Louviere	23	4	9	10	-9	-8.6	21
14	Standard	19	5	5	9	-14	-10.4	20
15	Charleroi	18	5	3	10	-5	-3.7	18
16	Dender	21	2	5	14	-23	-10.5	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	8	8	0	0	+18	+11.1	24
2	Club Brugge	10	7	1	2	+8	+3.0	22
3	St Truiden	9	6	0	3	+1	+6.6	18
4	Mechelen	10	4	4	2	+3	-0.5	16
5	Gent	8	5	0	3	+6	+0.3	15
6	Antwerp	10	4	3	3	+2	+0.5	15
7	Genk	9	4	2	3	+3	+5.8	14
8	Anderlecht	9	3	4	2	+6	+6.6	13
9	Waregem	10	4	1	5	-1	-0.2	13
10	Westerlo	9	3	3	3	+0	+3.4	12
11	RAAL La Louviere	11	2	5	4	-4	-3.7	11
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	2	4	4	+0	-0.3	10
13	Charleroi	10	2	3	5	-3	-2.4	9
14	Standard	10	1	5	4	-7	-2.6	8
15	Cercle Brugge	12	1	3	8	-10	-2.0	6
16	Dender	10	1	1	8	-14	-4.1	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	9	8	0	1	+11	+4.8	24
2	Mechelen	10	6	3	1	+8	-3.8	21
3	St Truiden	9	6	2	1	+11	+9.1	20
4	Cercle Brugge	10	5	3	2	+5	+1.1	18
5	St. Gilloise	10	3	7	0	+5	+7.8	16
6	Gent	9	4	2	3	-2	+0.7	14
7	Anderlecht	10	4	2	4	-2	-2.1	14
8	Standard	9	4	0	5	-7	-7.8	12
9	Genk	7	3	2	2	+1	-3.2	11
10	Antwerp	10	3	2	5	+0	-3.4	11
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	3	2	5	-9	-4.5	11
12	RAAL La Louviere	12	2	4	6	-5	-4.9	10
13	Westerlo	10	2	4	4	-6	-2.0	10
14	Charleroi	8	3	0	5	-2	-1.2	9
15	Waregem	11	2	2	7	-7	-5.9	8
16	Dender	11	1	4	6	-9	-6.3	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.