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Pro League

Referee: Simon Bourdeaud'hui

Dender

T S U T T

1–4

Full-time

St Truiden

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dender St Truiden

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 20/16 matches

Win Ø 40%

10%

69%

Points per game

0,6

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 55%

60%

50%

Average goals

2,6

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,6

Conceded

1,8

0,9

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

0,57 xG 0,83

40% Possession 60%

11 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 6

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 9

1 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dender 16. · St Truiden 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	17	13	1	3	+17	+5.7	40
2	St. Gilloise	16	10	6	0	+22	+17.8	36
3	St Truiden	16	11	2	3	+10	+16.1	35
4	Mechelen	18	8	7	3	+8	-3.7	31
5	Gent	16	9	2	5	+7	+2.8	29
6	Cercle Brugge	22	6	6	10	-5	-0.9	24
7	Antwerp	17	6	4	7	+2	-0.7	22
8	Genk	15	6	4	5	+1	+0.9	22
9	Anderlecht	17	5	6	6	-2	+4.7	21
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	18	5	6	7	-4	-2.8	21
11	Waregem	19	6	3	10	-5	-8.1	21
12	Westerlo	18	5	6	7	-6	+1.1	21
13	RAAL La Louviere	20	4	7	9	-7	-8.8	19
14	Standard	18	5	4	9	-14	-11.2	19
15	Charleroi	17	5	3	9	-4	-2.7	18
16	Dender	20	2	5	13	-20	-10.2	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	7	7	0	0	+17	+9.7	21
2	Club Brugge	9	6	1	2	+7	+1.8	19
3	St Truiden	9	6	0	3	+1	+6.6	18
4	Gent	8	5	0	3	+6	+0.3	15
5	Mechelen	9	3	4	2	+2	+0.4	13
6	Waregem	9	4	1	4	+1	-1.3	13
7	Antwerp	9	3	3	3	+1	-0.1	12
8	Genk	8	3	2	3	+0	+4.1	11
9	Westerlo	8	3	2	3	+0	+3.1	11
10	Anderlecht	8	2	4	2	+2	+5.7	10
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	10	2	4	4	+0	-0.3	10
12	RAAL La Louviere	9	2	4	3	-2	-4.7	10
13	Charleroi	9	2	3	4	-2	-1.5	9
14	Standard	9	1	4	4	-7	-3.4	7
15	Cercle Brugge	12	1	3	8	-10	-2.0	6
16	Dender	9	1	1	7	-11	-3.9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	8	7	0	1	+10	+3.9	21
2	Mechelen	9	5	3	1	+6	-4.2	18
3	Cercle Brugge	10	5	3	2	+5	+1.1	18
4	St Truiden	7	5	2	0	+9	+9.4	17
5	St. Gilloise	9	3	6	0	+5	+8.1	15
6	Gent	8	4	2	2	+1	+2.4	14
7	Standard	9	4	0	5	-7	-7.8	12
8	Genk	7	3	2	2	+1	-3.2	11
9	Anderlecht	9	3	2	4	-4	-0.9	11
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	3	2	3	-4	-2.4	11
11	Antwerp	8	3	1	4	+1	-0.6	10
12	Westerlo	10	2	4	4	-6	-2.0	10
13	Charleroi	8	3	0	5	-2	-1.2	9
14	RAAL La Louviere	11	2	3	6	-5	-4.1	9
15	Waregem	10	2	2	6	-6	-6.8	8
16	Dender	11	1	4	6	-9	-6.3	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.