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LaLiga2
Referee: Damaso Arcediano Monescillo
Valladolid
T S S U U
3–1
Full-time
Almeria
U U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valladolid Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
1,7
3,8
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
0,8
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
2,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
25%
75%
Both score Ø 50%
25%
75%
Average goals
1,5
4,5
Scored
1,3
2,3
Conceded
0,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
11 Shots 14
8 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
28 Free kicks against 13
5 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valladolid 6. · Almeria 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 4 4 0 0 +7 12
2 La Coruna 5 3 2 0 +7 11
3 Cadiz 5 3 2 0 +3 11
4 Huesca 5 3 1 1 +2 10
5 Sp Gijon 4 3 0 1 +2 9
6 Valladolid 4 2 2 0 +4 +2.3 8
7 Las Palmas 5 2 2 1 +2 8
8 Malaga 5 2 2 1 +1 8
9 Eibar 5 2 1 2 +3 7
10 Andorra 4 2 1 1 +1 7
11 Mirandes 5 2 0 3 -2 6
12 Burgos 4 1 2 1 +3 +3.1 5
13 Almeria 4 1 2 1 +0 5
14 Sociedad B 5 1 2 2 -1 5
15 Leganes 4 0 4 0 +0 4
16 Cordoba 4 1 1 2 -2 4
17 Ceuta 4 1 0 3 -6 -2.3 3
18 Zaragoza 4 0 2 2 -3 2
19 Castellon 4 0 1 3 -4 1
20 Albacete 4 0 1 3 -5 1
21 Granada 4 0 1 3 -6 1
22 Cultural Leonesa 4 0 1 3 -6 -3.1 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valladolid Almeria
Guilherme Fernandes 🟨
12′
13′
Adrián Embarba
penalty missed
14′
🟨 Nélson Monte
1–0 Marcos Andre
21′
29′
ℹ️ Federico Bonini
VAR: Goal cancelled
37′
🟨 Gui
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Horta
↦ Gui Guedes
Iván Alejo 🟨
56′
56′
🟨 Léo Baptistão
Peter Federico 🔁
↦ A. Ndiaye
62′
64′
🔁 A. Puigmal
↦ A. Embarba
Víctor Meseguer 🟨
71′
73′
🔁 M. Luna
↦ D. Chirino
73′
S. Arribas 1–1
74′
🔁 Thalys
↦ Leo Baptistao
Trilli 🔁
↦ I. Alejo
75′
J. Latasa 🔁
↦ Marcos Andre
76′
Peter González 🟨
77′
79′
🔁 A. Hernandez
↦ N. Monte
M. Maroto 🔁
↦ J. Ponceau
84′
I. Alani 🔁
↦ V. A. Meseguer Cavas
84′
Mario Maroto ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
89′
2–1 J. Latasa
90′
3–1 M. Maroto
90′
91′
🟨 Federico Bonini
95′
🟨 Stefan Džodić
Juanmi Latasa 🟨
97′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Valladolid

4-2-3-1
13 Guilherme Fernandes G
14 I. Alejo D
15 P. Tomeo D
4 D. Torres D
3 G. Bueno D
24 S. Juric M
8 V. A. Meseguer Cavas M
11 A. Ndiaye M
21 J. Ponceau M
17 S. Biuk M
10 Marcos Andre F
Bench (12)
16 M. Maroto
9 J. Latasa
2 Trilli
27 I. Garriel
1 A. Aceves
12 I. Alani
19 A. Arnuncio
34 J. L. Aranda
32 Koke
22 Peter Federico
5 J. Sanchez
28 X. Moreno

Coach: Jorge Guillermo Almada Álves

Almeria

4-2-3-1
1 A. Fernandez G
22 D. Chirino D
4 N. Monte D
18 F. Bonini D
3 A. Munoz D
29 S. Dzodic M
8 Gui Guedes M
23 A. Embarba M
11 S. Arribas M
10 N. Melamed M
12 Leo Baptistao F
Bench (12)
16 M. Luna
20 A. Centelles
6 A. Horta
24 L. Robertone
13 F. Martinez
31 B. Iribarne
2 A. Puigmal
36 M. Perovic
15 A. Hernandez
32 P. Fidel Cedillo Segura
9 Thalys
5 S. Clua

Coach: Joan Francesc Ferrer Sicilia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,39
U
3,32
B
2,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,86
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Damaso Arcediano Monescillo · 14 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
31,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.