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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
Charleroi
U S S S T
0–3
Full-time
St. Gilloise
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,8
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,5
This season — Pro League · 24/23 matches
Win Ø 64%
50%
78%
Points per game
1,8
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 64%
58%
70%
Both score Ø 45%
42%
48%
Average goals
2,8
3,5
Scored
1,7
2,6
Conceded
1,2
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

61% Possession 39%
13 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
1 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Charleroi 6. · St. Gilloise 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 23 18 2 3 +40 56
2 Anderlecht 24 15 7 2 +39 52
3 Antwerp 25 16 4 5 +20 52
4 Club Brugge 23 14 5 4 +17 47
5 Kortrijk 30 11 10 9 +7 43
6 Charleroi 24 12 6 6 +12 42
7 Cercle Brugge 30 12 5 13 +7 41
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 28 10 9 9 +0 39
9 Mechelen 24 12 2 10 -1 38
10 Genk 22 11 4 7 +19 37
11 St Truiden 29 11 4 14 -7 37
12 Gent 22 9 7 6 +8 34
13 Oostende 29 10 4 15 -23 34
14 Standard 28 8 8 12 -13 32
15 Eupen 29 7 7 15 -15 28
16 Waregem 29 6 8 15 -28 26
17 Seraing 27 7 2 18 -27 23
18 Seraing United 27 7 2 18 -27 23
19 Beerschot VA 29 5 4 20 -28 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi St. Gilloise
-5′
🟨 Lucas Pirard
4′
C. Burgess 0–1
L. Lapoussin
26′
🟨 Jonas Bager
Ali Gholizadeh 🟨
38′
38′
L. Amani 0–2
T. Teuma
Half-time 0–2
J. Tchatchoua 🔁
↦ V. Ozornwa
46′
48′
🟥 Dante Vanzeir
48′
ℹ️ Loic Lapoussin
VAR: Card upgrade
V. Bayo 🔁
↦ A. Zorgane
57′
A. Zaroury 🔁
↦ D. Heymans
64′
Jules Van Cleemput 🟨
67′
Marco Ilaimaharitra 🟨
73′
84′
🟨 Deniz Undav
84′
🔁 Álex Millán
↦ D. Undav
A. Descotte 🔁
↦ L. Bessilé
85′
86′
🔁 Cameron Puertas
↦ L. Amani
87′
🟨 Cameron Puertas Castro
90′
🔁 G. François
↦ B. Nieuwkoop
91′
🔁 M. Sorinola
↦ L. Lapoussin
91′
Álex Millán 0–3
T. Teuma
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Charleroi

3-4-2-1
1 B. Kamara G
12 J. Kayembe M
3 S. Knežević D
4 J. Van Cleemput M
5 L. Bessilé D
25 V. Ozornwafor D
26 M. Ilaimaharitra M
8 A. Gholizadeh F
18 D. Heymans F
6 A. Zorgane M
10 Y. Badji F
Bench (7)
38 J. Tchatchoua
9 V. Bayo
70 A. Zaroury
15 A. Descotte
21 S. Andreou
16 H. Koffi
31 M. Wasinski

Coach: E. Still

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
2 B. Nieuwkoop M
16 C. Burgess D
4 J. Bager D
28 K. Machida D
25 D. Marcq M
17 T. Teuma M
8 L. Amani M
9 D. Undav F
13 D. Vanzeir F
94 L. Lapoussin M
Bench (7)
11 Álex Millán
23 Cameron Puertas
7 M. Sorinola
19 G. François
21 L. Pirard
18 K. Mitoma
24 I. Ziani

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,58
U
3,70
B ✓
1,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
2,06
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Laforge · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.