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Pro League

Referee: L D'hondt

Anderlecht

T T T S S

2–1

Full-time

Charleroi

U U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,3

2,3

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 2/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

1,5

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

0,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,50 xG 2,23

44% Possession 56%

15 Shots 18

8 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 7

2 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Anderlecht 4. · Charleroi 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	4	3	1	0	+12	+7.8	10
2	Cercle Brugge	3	3	0	0	+5	+4.8	9
3	Eupen	4	2	1	1	-2	-5.5	7
4	Anderlecht	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.6	6
5	St. Gilloise	3	2	0	1	+1	+2.2	6
6	RWD Molenbeek	4	2	0	2	-8	-3.8	6
7	Antwerp	2	1	1	0	+6	-0.0	4
8	Mechelen	3	1	1	1	+3	-1.0	4
9	Genk	3	1	1	1	+3	+5.9	4
10	Charleroi	4	0	3	1	-2	-3.4	3
11	St Truiden	3	1	0	2	-2	-2.0	3
12	Standard	4	0	2	2	-2	-5.1	2
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	0	2	3	-7	+0.8	2
14	Westerlo	3	0	1	2	-2	-1.9	1
15	Kortrijk	4	0	1	3	-8	+0.5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	2	1	1	0	+6	+3.6	4
2	Eupen	3	1	1	1	-3	-4.0	4
3	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+6	–	3
4	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
5	Mechelen	1	1	0	0	+4	+0.3	3
6	Cercle Brugge	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.6	3
7	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
8	RWD Molenbeek	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.6	3
9	Charleroi	2	0	2	0	+0	-0.1	2
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.1	1
11	Kortrijk	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.7	1
12	Genk	2	0	1	1	-1	+3.2	1
13	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.2	0
14	Standard	2	0	0	2	-2	-3.0	0
15	St Truiden	2	0	0	2	-3	-2.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+6	+4.2	6
2	Cercle Brugge	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.2	6
3	Genk	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
4	Eupen	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.5	3
5	St Truiden	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
6	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.3	3
7	St. Gilloise	2	1	0	1	-3	+2.2	3
8	RWD Molenbeek	2	1	0	1	-5	-1.2	3
9	Standard	2	0	2	0	+0	-2.1	2
10	Antwerp	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.0	1
11	Westerlo	2	0	1	1	-1	+0.3	1
12	Mechelen	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.3	1
13	Charleroi	2	0	1	1	-2	-3.3	1
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	0	1	2	-6	+1.9	1
15	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-7	-0.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.