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Referee: L Visser

St Truiden

T S T T S

0–1

Full-time

Anderlecht

U S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Anderlecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,99 xG 0,72

63% Possession 37%

14 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 1

0 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	2	2	0	0	+5	+2.5	6
2	RWD Molenbeek	3	2	0	1	-2	-1.5	6
3	Eupen	2	1	1	0	+1	-2.7	4
4	Club Brugge	2	1	1	0	+1	+3.5	4
5	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+6	–	3
6	Genk	2	1	0	1	+3	+4.1	3
7	Cercle Brugge	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.6	3
8	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
9	St Truiden	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
10	Westerlo	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.0	1
11	Mechelen	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.3	1
12	Charleroi	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.7	1
13	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	3	0	1	2	-5	-0.0	1
14	Standard	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.5	0
15	Kortrijk	3	0	0	3	-8	-0.6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Antwerp	1	1	0	0	+6	–	3
2	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+4	–	3
3	Cercle Brugge	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.6	3
4	Gent	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.2	3
5	RWD Molenbeek	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.6	3
6	Eupen	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
7	Club Brugge	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
8	Charleroi	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.1	1
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
10	Genk	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.5	0
11	Kortrijk	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.4	0
12	Standard	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.5	0
13	Westerlo	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.6	3
2	RWD Molenbeek	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.1	3
3	Eupen	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.5	3
4	St Truiden	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.4	3
5	St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.5	3
6	Club Brugge	1	1	0	0	+1	+2.2	3
7	Westerlo	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
8	Mechelen	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.3	1
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2	0	1	1	-4	+1.1	1
10	Charleroi	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.6	0
11	Kortrijk	2	0	0	2	-7	-0.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.