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Pro League

Referee: E Lambrechts

Genk

S U U S T

5–2

Full-time

Anderlecht

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Anderlecht

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

3,0

1,3

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,3

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 28/33 matches

Win Ø 60%

75%

45%

Points per game

2,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

68%

45%

Both score Ø 51%

57%

45%

Average goals

3,3

2,5

Scored

2,4

1,5

Conceded

0,9

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,6

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

49% Possession 51%

14 Shots 13

9 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 2

4 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 1. · Anderlecht 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	28	21	5	2	+44	68
2	Antwerp	28	20	4	4	+35	64
3	St. Gilloise	27	20	4	3	+27	64
4	Gent	28	17	4	7	+34	55
5	Club Brugge	29	16	7	6	+23	55
6	Charleroi	34	16	5	13	+2	53
7	Anderlecht	33	15	7	11	+15	52
8	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	35	13	9	13	+11	48
9	St Truiden	35	13	9	13	+0	48
10	Cercle Brugge	29	12	10	7	+9	46
11	Standard	28	13	5	10	+5	44
12	Westerlo	28	11	8	9	+6	41
13	Kortrijk	34	10	7	17	-19	37
14	Mechelen	33	10	6	17	-19	36
15	Waregem	35	7	10	18	-25	31
16	Eupen	35	8	7	20	-29	31
17	Oostende	35	6	7	22	-41	25
18	Seraing	32	5	4	23	-39	19
19	Seraing United	32	5	4	23	-39	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	14	13	1	0	+30	40
2	Antwerp	14	12	1	1	+25	37
3	St. Gilloise	13	11	1	1	+15	34
4	Club Brugge	14	9	4	1	+19	31
5	Cercle Brugge	15	8	6	1	+15	30
6	Gent	14	9	3	2	+14	30
7	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	17	7	5	5	+9	26
8	Mechelen	17	7	5	5	+1	26
9	Anderlecht	17	7	4	6	+7	25
10	Charleroi	16	8	1	7	+4	25
11	St Truiden	17	7	4	6	+3	25
12	Standard	14	7	2	5	+6	23
13	Westerlo	15	6	4	5	+10	22
14	Kortrijk	17	5	5	7	-10	20
15	Eupen	18	4	4	10	-13	16
16	Waregem	17	4	4	9	-16	16
17	Oostende	18	5	1	12	-16	16
18	Seraing	16	1	3	12	-21	6
19	Seraing United	16	1	3	12	-21	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	14	9	3	2	+12	30
2	Genk	14	8	4	2	+14	28
3	Charleroi	18	8	4	6	-2	28
4	Antwerp	14	8	3	3	+10	27
5	Anderlecht	16	8	3	5	+8	27
6	Gent	14	8	1	5	+20	25
7	Club Brugge	15	7	3	5	+4	24
8	St Truiden	18	6	5	7	-3	23
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	18	6	4	8	+2	22
10	Standard	14	6	3	5	-1	21
11	Westerlo	13	5	4	4	-4	19
12	Kortrijk	17	5	2	10	-9	17
13	Cercle Brugge	14	4	4	6	-6	16
14	Waregem	18	3	6	9	-9	15
15	Eupen	17	4	3	10	-16	15
16	Seraing	16	4	1	11	-18	13
17	Seraing United	16	4	1	11	-18	13
18	Mechelen	16	3	1	12	-20	10
19	Oostende	17	1	6	10	-25	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.