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Pro League

Referee: B Van Driessche

Charleroi

S S U S S

0–1

Full-time

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

0,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,3

This season — Pro League · 29/30 matches

Win Ø 39%

45%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

59%

57%

Both score Ø 56%

52%

60%

Average goals

2,6

3,1

Scored

1,3

1,6

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%

25 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 4

3 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Charleroi 4. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	25	20	4	1	+45	64
2	St. Gilloise	24	18	3	3	+25	57
3	Antwerp	23	16	4	3	+29	52
4	Charleroi	29	13	5	11	+2	44
5	Gent	23	13	3	7	+17	42
6	Club Brugge	23	12	6	5	+15	42
7	Anderlecht	29	12	6	11	+10	42
8	Cercle Brugge	24	10	9	5	+8	39
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	30	10	9	11	+6	39
10	St Truiden	29	10	9	10	-3	39
11	Standard	23	10	4	9	+1	34
12	Westerlo	23	9	6	8	+4	33
13	Mechelen	29	9	6	14	-13	33
14	Kortrijk	30	9	6	15	-16	33
15	Eupen	30	8	5	17	-21	29
16	Waregem	30	6	9	15	-22	27
17	Oostende	30	6	6	18	-29	24
18	Seraing	28	5	4	19	-29	19
19	Seraing United	28	5	4	19	-29	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	13	12	1	0	+29	37
2	Antwerp	12	11	1	0	+25	34
3	St. Gilloise	11	9	1	1	+13	28
4	Gent	12	8	2	2	+11	26
5	Cercle Brugge	12	6	5	1	+11	23
6	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	6	5	4	+8	23
7	Mechelen	15	6	5	4	+3	23
8	Club Brugge	11	6	4	1	+13	22
9	Charleroi	14	7	1	6	+4	22
10	Anderlecht	15	6	3	6	+5	21
11	Westerlo	12	5	3	4	+9	18
12	Standard	11	5	1	5	+2	16
13	St Truiden	14	4	4	6	-4	16
14	Oostende	15	5	1	9	-9	16
15	Waregem	15	4	4	7	-10	16
16	Kortrijk	15	4	4	7	-11	16
17	Eupen	15	4	3	8	-8	15
18	Seraing	14	1	3	10	-14	6
19	Seraing United	14	1	3	10	-14	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	13	9	2	2	+12	29
2	Genk	12	8	3	1	+16	27
3	St Truiden	15	6	5	4	+1	23
4	Charleroi	15	6	4	5	-2	22
5	Anderlecht	14	6	3	5	+5	21
6	Club Brugge	12	6	2	4	+2	20
7	Antwerp	11	5	3	3	+4	18
8	Standard	12	5	3	4	-1	18
9	Kortrijk	15	5	2	8	-5	17
10	Gent	11	5	1	5	+6	16
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	4	4	7	-2	16
12	Cercle Brugge	12	4	4	4	-3	16
13	Westerlo	11	4	3	4	-5	15
14	Eupen	15	4	2	9	-13	14
15	Seraing	14	4	1	9	-15	13
16	Seraing United	14	4	1	9	-15	13
17	Waregem	15	2	5	8	-12	11
18	Mechelen	14	3	1	10	-16	10
19	Oostende	15	1	5	9	-20	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.