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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
Gent
S S S U T
2–1
Full-time
Oostende
T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Oostende
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
4,2
4,2
Scored
2,5
2,0
Conceded
1,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 44%
44%
44%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
62%
62%
Both score Ø 58%
50%
65%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
1,9
1,6
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%
7 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 7. · Oostende 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 34 23 6 5 +47 75
2 Genk 35 18 11 6 +27 65
3 Antwerp 34 19 8 7 +18 65
4 Mechelen 34 17 8 9 +12 59
5 Waregem 38 18 4 16 -7 58
6 Beerschot VA 38 16 6 16 -6 54
7 Gent 34 15 7 12 +22 52
8 Anderlecht 35 11 19 5 +15 52
9 Oostende 34 15 7 12 +8 52
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 38 14 10 14 -2 52
11 Standard 34 13 9 12 +4 48
12 Kortrijk 38 14 6 18 -8 48
13 Eupen 38 11 15 12 -10 48
14 Charleroi 38 11 12 15 -5 45
15 Cercle Brugge 38 14 3 21 -7 45
16 St Truiden 38 11 9 18 -12 42
17 Beveren 36 8 8 20 -29 32
18 Mouscron 34 7 10 17 -22 31
19 Royal Excel Mouscron 34 7 10 17 -22 31
20 Waasland-Beveren 34 8 7 19 -26 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Oostende
1–0 R. Yaremchuk
A. Castro-Montes
14′
Michael Ngadeu 🟨
25′
43′
🟨 Robbie D'Haese
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 I. Boonen
↦ A. Tanghe
2–0 B. Godeau
V. Odjidja-Ofoe
59′
62′
A. Hjulsager 2–1
67′
🔁 M. Gueye
↦ M. Kvasina
73′
🟨 Maxime D'Arpino
M. Mohammadi 🔁
↦ M. Samoise
73′
N. Dorsch 🔁
↦ V. Odjidja-Ofoe
74′
81′
🟨 Makhtar Gueye
O. Bukari 🔁
↦ Y. Malede
83′
I. Plastun 🔁
↦ A. Castro-Montes
83′
84′
🔁 T. Matam
↦ R. DHaese
84′
🔁 M. Thiam
↦ F. Sakala
Roman Yaremchuk 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Gent

5-3-2
1 S. Bolat G
31 B. Godeau D
5 M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui D
21 A. Hanche-Olsen D
14 A. Castro-Montes D
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
24 S. Kums M
9 R. Bezus M
19 M. Samoise D
7 R. Yaremchuk F
23 Y. Malede F
Bench (7)
15 M. Mohammadi
30 N. Dorsch
20 O. Bukari
32 I. Plastun
12 A. De Bruyn
33 D. Roef
34 T. Tissoudali

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Oostende

3-4-1-2
28 G. Hubert G
33 A. Tanghe D
15 F. Jäkel D
5 A. Theate D
26 K. Vandendriessche M
17 A. Hjulsager F
6 M. D'Arpino M
25 J. Bataille M
29 R. D'Haese M
21 M. Kvasina F
10 F. Sakala F
Bench (7)
11 I. Boonen
7 M. Gueye
20 T. Matam
19 M. Thiam
99 B. Castro
34 N. Bätzner
8 F. Marquet

Coach: A. Blessin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,75
U
3,84
B
4,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,11
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Laforge · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.