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Pro League
Referee: J Boterberg
Gent
S S S S S
1–1
Full-time
St. Gilloise
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent St. Gilloise
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
83%
67%
Points per game
2,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
4,7
3,2
Scored
4,0
2,0
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+3,3
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 27/26 matches
Win Ø 70%
63%
77%
Points per game
2,0
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
56%
73%
Both score Ø 53%
37%
69%
Average goals
2,9
3,2
Scored
2,1
2,1
Conceded
0,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
10 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
4 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 4. · St. Gilloise 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 27 21 5 1 +46 68
2 St. Gilloise 26 20 3 3 +27 63
3 Antwerp 27 19 4 4 +34 61
4 Gent 27 17 3 7 +34 54
5 Club Brugge 28 16 6 6 +23 54
6 Charleroi 33 16 5 12 +4 53
7 Anderlecht 32 15 6 11 +15 51
8 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 34 12 9 13 +7 45
9 St Truiden 33 12 9 12 -3 45
10 Cercle Brugge 27 11 10 6 +8 43
11 Westerlo 26 11 6 9 +6 39
12 Standard 26 11 5 10 +1 38
13 Kortrijk 34 10 7 17 -19 37
14 Mechelen 33 10 6 17 -19 36
15 Eupen 34 8 7 19 -25 31
16 Waregem 34 6 10 18 -29 28
17 Oostende 33 6 7 20 -32 25
18 Seraing 32 5 4 23 -39 19
19 Seraing United 32 5 4 23 -39 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent St. Gilloise
1′
L. Amani 0–1
V. Boniface
Half-time 0–1
Hong Hyun-Seok 🔁
↦ V. Odjidja-Ofoe
46′
46′
🔁 O. El Azzouzi
↦ L. Amani
65′
🔁 Y. Vertessen
↦ S. Adingra
65′
🔁 G. Nilsson
↦ V. Boniface
T. Tissoudali 🔁
↦ M. Fofana
69′
K. Piątkowski 🔁
↦ M. Samoise
70′
77′
🟨 Yorbe Vertessen
Alessio Castro-Montes ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
78′
80′
🟨 Senne Lynen
1–1 H. Cuypers
80′
Núrio Fortuna 🔁
↦ G. Orban
83′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Gent

3-5-2
1 P. Nardi G
14 A. Castro-Montes D
2 J. Okumu D
23 J. Torunarigha D
18 M. Samoise M
24 S. Kums M
13 J. De Sart M
8 V. Odjidja-Ofoe M
19 M. Fofana M
11 H. Cuypers F
20 G. Orban F
Bench (7)
7 Hong Hyun-Seok
34 T. Tissoudali
4 K. Piątkowski
25 Núrio Fortuna
33 D. Roef
10 J. Hauge
31 B. Godeau

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

St. Gilloise

3-5-2
49 A. Moris G
59 I. Kandouss D
16 C. Burgess D
44 S. Van der Heyden D
2 B. Nieuwkoop M
8 L. Amani M
20 S. Lynen M
10 T. Teuma M
94 L. Lapoussin M
11 S. Adingra F
7 V. Boniface F
Bench (7)
6 O. El Azzouzi
18 Y. Vertessen
29 G. Nilsson
23 Cameron Puertas
26 R. Sykes
19 G. François
14 J. Imbrechts

Coach: K. Geraerts

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,53
U ✓
3,45
B
2,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,82
U2,5 ✓
1,97
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Boterberg · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.