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Pro League
Referee: J Vergoote
Anderlecht
S U U U S
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,3
2,7
Scored
2,8
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 11/12 matches
Win Ø 36%
55%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
64%
50%
Both score Ø 70%
64%
75%
Average goals
3,5
2,9
Scored
2,4
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

57% Possession 43%
16 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 3
1 Yellow cards 1
2 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 4. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 10 8 1 1 +16 25
2 Genk 12 7 2 3 +13 23
3 Antwerp 12 7 2 3 +7 23
4 Anderlecht 11 6 4 1 +14 22
5 Kortrijk 14 6 4 4 +3 22
6 Club Brugge 10 6 3 1 +7 21
7 Charleroi 11 5 5 1 +12 20
8 Eupen 14 6 2 6 +2 20
9 Mechelen 12 6 2 4 +1 20
10 Oostende 14 6 2 6 -5 20
11 Standard 14 5 4 5 -6 19
12 St Truiden 13 4 3 6 -6 15
13 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 12 2 7 3 -5 13
14 Waregem 14 3 4 7 -15 13
15 Seraing 13 4 0 9 -11 12
16 Seraing United 13 4 0 9 -11 12
17 Gent 9 3 2 4 +4 11
18 Cercle Brugge 14 2 3 9 -8 9
19 Beerschot VA 14 2 2 10 -12 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Oud-Heverlee Leuven
6′
S. Kaba 0–1
X. Mercier
15′
M. Maertens 0–2
C. De Norre
1–2 J. Zirkzee
Sergio Gómez
40′
Joshua Zirkzee 🟨
44′
Half-time 1–2
Sergio Gómez ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
60′
L. Refaelov 🔁
↦ Y. Verschaeren
68′
Michael Murillo ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
69′
Michael Murillo 🟥
70′
B. Mykhaylichenko 🔁
↦ B. Raman
77′
M. Ashimeru 🔁
↦ K. Olsson
77′
F. Amuzu 🔁
↦ A. Ait El Hadj
77′
87′
🔁 T. Vlietinck
↦ Mousa Al-Tamari
87′
🔁 A. De Sart
↦ M. Maertens
M. Stroeykens 🔁
↦ T. Harwood-Bellis
89′
91′
🟨 Siebe Schrijvers
2–2 J. Zirkzee
94′
Majeed Ashimeru 🟥
97′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Anderlecht

4-4-2
30 H. Van Crombrugge G
4 W. Hoedt D
62 M. Murillo D
6 T. Harwood-Bellis D
20 K. Olsson M
8 J. Cullen M
17 Sergio Gómez D
51 Y. Verschaeren M
46 A. Ait El Hadj M
9 B. Raman F
23 J. Zirkzee F
Bench (7)
11 L. Refaelov
14 B. Mykhaylichenko
18 M. Ashimeru
7 F. Amuzu
52 M. Stroeykens
16 B. Verbruggen
2 L. Magallán

Coach: V. Kompany

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

3-4-2-1
90 R. Romo G
6 S. Dewaest D
24 C. De Norre M
3 S. Chakla D
35 C. Özkaçar D
10 X. Mercier F
33 M. Maertens F
27 M. Keita M
8 S. Schrijvers M
11 Mousa Al-Tamari M
9 S. Kaba F
Bench (7)
14 T. Vlietinck
21 A. De Sart
77 J. Sekidika
4 K. Malinov
99 K. Rezaei
13 R. Rúnarsson
5 P. Ngawa

Coach: M. Brys

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,28
U ✓
5,78
B
8,74
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,41
U2,5
2,82
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Vergoote · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.