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Pro League
Referee: W Smet
Oostende
S T T U S
1–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oostende Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 32%
36%
28%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
56%
64%
Both score Ø 60%
48%
72%
Average goals
3,1
3,1
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 2
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oostende 13. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 22 18 2 2 +41 56
2 Anderlecht 22 13 7 2 +35 46
3 Antwerp 23 14 4 5 +18 46
4 Club Brugge 21 13 5 3 +16 44
5 Charleroi 23 12 6 5 +14 42
6 Kortrijk 28 10 10 8 +3 40
7 Cercle Brugge 27 11 4 12 +6 37
8 St Truiden 28 10 4 14 -8 34
9 Mechelen 22 10 2 10 -5 32
10 Genk 19 9 4 6 +16 31
11 Standard 25 8 7 10 -10 31
12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 25 7 9 9 -4 30
13 Oostende 25 9 3 13 -19 30
14 Gent 20 7 7 6 +6 28
15 Eupen 27 7 7 13 -11 28
16 Waregem 25 6 7 12 -20 25
17 Seraing 26 7 2 17 -26 23
18 Seraing United 26 7 2 17 -26 23
19 Beerschot VA 26 4 4 18 -26 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oostende Oud-Heverlee Leuven
34′
L. Shengelia 0–1
C. De Norre
Half-time 0–1
Zech Medley 🟨
46′
48′
S. Kaba 0–2
X. Mercier
1–2 M. D'Arpino
56′
T. Sakamoto 🔁
↦ T. Ndicka
59′
M. Gueye 🔁
↦ R. DHaese
60′
61′
🔁 S. Schrijvers
↦ T. Vlietinck
76′
🟨 Siebe Schrijvers
Anton Tanghe 🟨
78′
V. Koziello 🔁
↦ N. Bätzner
79′
80′
🔁 Mousa Al-Tamari
↦ L. Shengelia
E. Patoulidis 🔁
↦ M. DArpino
83′
85′
Mousa Al-Tamari 1–3
X. Mercier
87′
🔁 A. De Sart
↦ M. Maertens
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Oostende

3-4-3
1 K. Scherpen G
4 K. Duncan M
3 Z. Medley D
33 A. Tanghe D
7 T. Ndicka M
15 F. Jäkel D
8 C. McGeehan M
6 M. D'Arpino M
29 R. D'Haese F
34 N. Bätzner F
68 T. Ambrose F
Bench (7)
18 T. Sakamoto
9 M. Gueye
26 V. Koziello
24 E. Patoulidis
36 S. Wylin
28 G. Hubert
27 B. Capon

Coach: M. Pflanz

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

3-4-1-2
13 R. Rúnarsson G
6 S. Dewaest D
24 C. De Norre M
3 S. Chakla D
35 C. Özkaçar D
10 X. Mercier F
14 T. Vlietinck M
33 M. Maertens F
27 M. Keita M
19 L. Shengelia M
9 S. Kaba F
Bench (7)
8 S. Schrijvers
11 Mousa Al-Tamari
21 A. De Sart
5 P. Ngawa
7 Y. Aguemon
99 K. Rezaei
90 R. Romo

Coach: M. Brys

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,51
U
3,50
B ✓
2,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,72
U2,5
2,10
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Smet · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.