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Süper Lig
Referee: Y Kol
Fenerbahce
U S U T S
2–0
Full-time
Hatayspor
S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Hatayspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,3
4,3
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,2
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
This season — Süper Lig · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 46%
44%
48%
Points per game
1,6
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
56%
60%
Both score Ø 62%
72%
52%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
15 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fenerbahce 6. · Hatayspor 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 26 19 6 1 +30 63
2 Konyaspor 25 14 7 4 +18 49
3 Ad. Demirspor 26 12 8 6 +15 44
4 Buyuksehyr 25 13 4 8 +13 43
5 Besiktas 26 11 8 7 +5 41
6 Fenerbahce 25 11 7 7 +8 40
7 Alanyaspor 26 11 7 8 +4 40
8 Hatayspor 25 12 3 10 -2 39
9 Kayserispor 26 10 8 8 +1 38
10 Karagumruk 26 10 6 10 -8 36
11 Gaziantep 25 10 5 10 -2 35
12 Sivasspor 26 8 10 8 +2 34
13 Antalyaspor 26 8 7 11 -7 31
14 Kasimpasa 26 7 8 11 -2 29
15 Galatasaray 25 7 8 10 -5 29
16 Goztep 25 7 6 12 -6 27
17 Giresunspor 26 7 5 14 -6 26
18 Rizespor 26 6 5 15 -22 23
19 Altay 26 6 4 16 -13 22
20 Yeni Malatyaspor 25 4 4 17 -23 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fenerbahce Hatayspor
17′
🟨 Rúben Ribeiro
18′
🔁 S. Temel
↦ B. Öksüz
38′
🟨 Selimcan Temel
Half-time 0–0
M. Berisha 🔁
↦ O. Tufan
46′
61′
🔁 Kahraba
↦ D. Saint-Louis
Attila Szalai 🔁
↦ S. Aziz
64′
D. Pelkas 🔁
↦ D. Rossi
64′
1–0 S. Dursun
67′
M. Yandaş 🔁
↦ A. Güler
73′
2–0 S. Dursun
81′
B. Kapacak 🔁
↦ S. Dursun
87′
87′
🔁 S. Baş
↦ S. Lobzhanidze
87′
🔁 B. Yıldırım
↦ Y. Benzia
87′
🔁 M. Mert
↦ S. Temel
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Fenerbahce

4-3-3
1 A. Bayındır G
4 S. Aziz D
32 M. Tisserand D
33 Ç. Kurukalıp D
26 M. Zajc M
7 O. Tufan D
21 B. Osayi-Samuel F
27 Miguel Crespo M
25 A. Güler M
19 S. Dursun F
9 D. Rossi F
Bench (10)
11 M. Berisha
41 Attila Szalai
14 D. Pelkas
8 M. Yandaş
77 B. Kapacak
5 J. Sosa
91 M. Bostan
35 B. Özer
13 E. Valencia
30 N. Sangaré

Coach: İ. Kartal

Hatayspor

4-2-3-1
1 M. Mohamedi G
12 K. Çörekçi D
23 S. Adekugbe D
53 B. Öksüz D
7 Rúben Ribeiro M
76 Y. Benzia M
11 S. Lobzhanidze M
5 I. Sackey D
4 O. Ergün M
95 D. Saint-Louis M
25 A. El Kaabi F
Bench (10)
16 S. Temel
9 Kahraba
77 S. Baş
99 B. Yıldırım
19 M. Mert
72 E. Akar
87 E. Fansa
31 A. Yiğiter
37 E. Kaplan
8 M. Boudjemaa

Coach: Ö. Erdoğan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,70
U
3,88
B
4,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,72
U2,5 ✓
2,10
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Y Kol · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.