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Ligue 1
Referee: H Ben El Hadj
Reims
U T T S T
1–1
Full-time
Brest
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reims Brest
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 29%
25%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
38%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
46%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
8 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 6
6 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reims 14. · Brest 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 25 18 5 2 +31 59
2 Marseille 24 13 7 4 +17 46
3 Nice 25 14 4 7 +16 46
4 Strasbourg 24 12 5 7 +17 41
5 Lyon 25 10 9 6 +3 39
6 Nantes 25 11 5 9 +5 38
7 Rennes 24 11 4 9 +21 37
8 Monaco 24 10 7 7 +11 37
9 Lens 25 10 7 8 +4 37
10 Lille 25 9 9 7 -3 36
11 Montpellier 24 10 4 10 +4 34
12 Brest 24 8 7 9 -3 31
13 Angers 25 7 8 10 -6 29
14 Reims 24 6 9 9 -1 27
15 Clermont 24 6 6 12 -17 24
16 Troyes 24 5 6 13 -15 21
17 Lorient 24 4 9 11 -18 21
18 Metz 25 4 9 12 -20 21
19 St Etienne 24 5 6 13 -21 21
20 Bordeaux 24 4 8 12 -25 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reims Brest
1–0 W. Faes
A. Flips
4′
M. van Bergen 🔁
↦ H. Ekitike
16′
34′
M. Satriano 1–1
R. Del Castillo
Half-time 1–1
S. Sissoko 🔁
↦ B. Locko
46′
51′
ℹ️ Franck Honorat
VAR: Penalty awarded
K. Doumbia 🔁
↦ I. Kebbal
55′
F. Hornby 🔁
↦ A. Flips
55′
57′
🟨 Youssef Belaïli
Nathanael Mbuku 🟨
65′
71′
🔁 S. Mounié
↦ Y. Belaïli
M. Adeline 🔁
↦ D. Lopy
72′
Mitchell Van Bergen ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
76′
79′
🔁 J. Le Douaron
↦ M. Satriano
79′
🔁 I. Cardona
↦ R. Del Castillo
79′
🔁 P. Lasne
↦ H. Magnetti
83′
🔁 J. Uronen
↦ R. Pierre-Gabriel
87′
🟨 Paul Lasne
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Reims

4-2-3-1
1 P. Rajković G
2 W. Faes D
4 M. Busi D
28 B. Locko D
21 A. Matusiwa M
15 M. Munetsi D
20 I. Kebbal M
12 A. Flips M
26 D. Lopy M
11 N. Mbuku M
22 H. Ekitike F
Bench (8)
19 M. van Bergen
33 S. Sissoko
34 K. Doumbia
18 F. Hornby
35 M. Adeline
16 Y. Diouf
30 N. Penneteau
37 E. Valentim

Coach: Óscar García

Brest

4-2-3-1
40 M. Bizot G
23 C. Hérelle D
2 J. Duverne D
18 R. Pierre-Gabriel D
3 L. Brassier D
27 H. Magnetti M
10 L. Agoume M
24 Y. Belaïli M
9 F. Honorat M
25 R. Del Castillo M
11 M. Satriano
Bench (9)
15 S. Mounié
26 J. Le Douaron
14 I. Cardona
8 P. Lasne
20 J. Uronen
7 H. Belkebla
17 D. Bain
22 J. Faussurier
1 G. Larsonneur

Coach: M. Der Zakarian

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,38
U ✓
3,23
B
3,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,12
U2,5 ✓
1,71
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

H Ben El Hadj · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.