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Bundesliga

Referee: M Fritz

Dortmund

S S S T S

6–0

Full-time

M'gladbach

S T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund M'gladbach

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 92%

83%

100%

Average goals

5,2

3,0

Scored

3,0

1,5

Conceded

2,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,0

This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 50%

68%

32%

Points per game

2,1

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

86%

64%

Both score Ø 78%

82%

73%

Average goals

4,2

3,2

Scored

2,6

1,4

Conceded

1,6

1,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

50% Possession 50%

16 Shots 8

10 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 5

2 Offside 4

17 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dortmund 2. · M'gladbach 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	23	18	1	4	+48	55
2	Dortmund	22	15	1	6	+21	46
3	Leverkusen	23	12	5	6	+21	41
4	Hoffenheim	23	11	4	8	+10	37
5	Freiburg	23	10	7	6	+10	37
6	FC Koln	23	9	8	6	-2	35
7	RB Leipzig	22	10	4	8	+16	34
8	Mainz	23	10	4	9	+8	34
9	Union Berlin	23	9	7	7	-2	34
10	Ein Frankfurt	23	8	7	8	-2	31
11	Bochum	23	8	5	10	-8	29
12	Wolfsburg	23	8	3	12	-11	27
13	M'gladbach	22	7	5	10	-10	26
14	Bielefeld	23	5	10	8	-7	25
15	Hertha	22	6	5	11	-21	23
16	Augsburg	23	5	7	11	-15	22
17	Stuttgart	23	4	7	12	-16	19
18	Greuther Furth	23	3	4	16	-40	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	12	10	0	2	+26	30
2	RB Leipzig	12	9	0	3	+20	27
3	Mainz	12	8	3	1	+17	27
4	Dortmund	11	9	0	2	+15	27
5	FC Koln	12	7	3	2	+5	24
6	Hoffenheim	11	7	2	2	+13	23
7	Bochum	11	6	3	2	+7	21
8	Union Berlin	11	6	3	2	+2	21
9	Leverkusen	11	6	2	3	+11	20
10	Freiburg	11	5	4	2	+6	19
11	M'gladbach	11	5	2	4	+0	17
12	Augsburg	11	4	3	4	-2	15
13	Hertha	11	4	3	4	-2	15
14	Wolfsburg	12	4	2	6	-4	14
15	Ein Frankfurt	11	3	4	4	-1	13
16	Bielefeld	12	2	7	3	-4	13
17	Stuttgart	12	3	3	6	-5	12
18	Greuther Furth	11	3	3	5	-6	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	11	8	1	2	+22	25
2	Leverkusen	12	6	3	3	+10	21
3	Dortmund	11	6	1	4	+6	19
4	Freiburg	12	5	3	4	+4	18
5	Ein Frankfurt	12	5	3	4	-1	18
6	Hoffenheim	12	4	2	6	-3	14
7	Union Berlin	12	3	4	5	-4	13
8	Wolfsburg	11	4	1	6	-7	13
9	Bielefeld	11	3	3	5	-3	12
10	FC Koln	11	2	5	4	-7	11
11	M'gladbach	11	2	3	6	-10	9
12	Bochum	12	2	2	8	-15	8
13	Hertha	11	2	2	7	-19	8
14	RB Leipzig	10	1	4	5	-4	7
15	Mainz	11	2	1	8	-9	7
16	Stuttgart	11	1	4	6	-11	7
17	Augsburg	12	1	4	7	-13	7
18	Greuther Furth	12	0	1	11	-34	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.