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Ligue 1
Referee: J Pignard
Bordeaux
T T S T T
1–1
Full-time
Monaco
U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Monaco
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
4,8
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
3,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-2,2
+1,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 30%
17%
42%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 61%
75%
46%
Average goals
4,0
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
2,5
1,1
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
11 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Bordeaux 20. · Monaco 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 25 18 5 2 +31 59
2 Marseille 24 13 7 4 +17 46
3 Nice 25 14 4 7 +16 46
4 Strasbourg 25 12 6 7 +17 42
5 Rennes 25 12 4 9 +24 40
6 Lyon 25 10 9 6 +3 39
7 Nantes 25 11 5 9 +5 38
8 Monaco 24 10 7 7 +11 37
9 Montpellier 25 11 4 10 +5 37
10 Lens 25 10 7 8 +4 37
11 Lille 25 9 9 7 -3 36
12 Brest 25 8 8 9 -3 32
13 Angers 25 7 8 10 -6 29
14 Reims 25 6 10 9 -1 28
15 Clermont 24 6 6 12 -17 24
16 St Etienne 25 5 7 13 -21 22
17 Troyes 25 5 6 14 -18 21
18 Lorient 25 4 9 12 -19 21
19 Metz 25 4 9 12 -20 21
20 Bordeaux 24 4 8 12 -25 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bordeaux Monaco
1–0 R. Oudin
22′
28′
🟨 Aurélien Tchouaméni
34′
🟨 Djibril Sidibé
34′
🟨 Aurélien Tchouaméni
34′
🟥 Aurélien Tchouaméni
Remi Oudin 🟨
41′
42′
🔁 Y. Fofana
↦ K. Volland
43′
🔁 Gelson Martins
↦ S. Diop
Half-time 1–0
Josuha Guilavogui 🟨
46′
Timothée Pembele 🟨
56′
61′
🔁 A. Golovin
↦ D. Sidibé
D. Ignatenko 🔁
↦ Y. Adli
65′
67′
Marcelo 2–0
own goal
T. Lacoux 🔁
↦ T. Pembélé
77′
S. Mara 🔁
↦ R. Oudin
77′
78′
🟨 Vanderson
84′
🔁 M. Akliouche
↦ W. Ben Yedder
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Bordeaux

5-4-1
16 G. Poussin G
15 Marcelo D
2 S. Gregersen D
5 A. Ahmedhodzic D
14 G. Mensah D
22 T. Pembélé D
23 J. Guilavogui M
19 Y. Adli M
8 J. Onana M
18 Hwang Ui-Jo F
28 R. Oudin M
Bench (9)
6 D. Ignatenko
27 T. Lacoux
11 S. Mara
21 J. Dilrosun
10 M. Niang
3 A. Medioub
12 Ricardo Mangas
30 D. Rouyard
33 T. Klidjé

Coach: D. Guion

Monaco

4-1-4-1
16 A. Nübel G
19 D. Sidibé D
3 G. Maripán D
6 A. Disasi D
12 Caio Henrique D
2 Vanderson M
8 A. Tchouaméni M
11 Jean Lucas M
37 S. Diop M
31 K. Volland M
10 W. Ben Yedder F
Bench (9)
22 Y. Fofana
7 Gelson Martins
17 A. Golovin
33 M. Akliouche
26 R. Aguilar
14 I. Jakobs
30 V. Mannone
36 E. Matazo
34 C. Matsima

Coach: P. Clement

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,16
U ✓
3,97
B
1,67
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,61
U2,5 ✓
2,34
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Pignard · 145 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.