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Eredivisie
Referee: J Manschot
Zwolle
T S S U S
1–1
Full-time
Groningen
T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle Groningen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 23%
18%
27%
Points per game
0,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
32%
41%
Both score Ø 50%
41%
59%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

55% Possession 45%
10 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 1
3 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 18. · Groningen 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 23 18 3 2 +65 57
2 PSV Eindhoven 22 16 1 5 +26 49
3 Feyenoord 22 15 3 4 +33 48
4 AZ Alkmaar 21 13 2 6 +16 41
5 Twente 22 12 5 5 +7 41
6 Utrecht 21 10 5 6 +11 35
7 Vitesse 20 10 2 8 -10 32
8 Nijmegen 23 8 7 8 -4 31
9 Cambuur 22 9 3 10 -9 30
10 Groningen 22 6 7 9 -6 25
11 Heerenveen 21 7 4 10 -9 25
12 Heracles 23 6 5 12 -8 23
13 Waalwijk 23 5 8 10 -12 23
14 Go Ahead Eagles 22 6 4 12 -16 22
15 Willem II 23 6 3 14 -21 21
16 For Sittard 22 5 4 13 -26 19
17 Sparta Rotterdam 22 3 8 11 -18 17
18 Zwolle 22 4 4 14 -19 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle Groningen
Rico Strieder 🟨
35′
36′
L. Duarte 0–1
42′
🟨 Paulos Abraham
Half-time 0–1
47′
🟨 Bart Van Hintum
52′
ℹ️ Michael De Leeuw
VAR: Goal cancelled
K. Paal 🔁
↦ M. van der Werff
56′
M. Saymak 🔁
↦ R. Strieder
56′
M. de Waal 🔁
↦ D. Anderson
56′
Mees de Wit 🟨
65′
69′
🔁 R. Postema
↦ M. de Leeuw
69′
🔁 Y. Kalley
↦ P. Abraham
S. Tedić 🔁
↦ P. Clement
84′
L. Adžić 🔁
↦ E. Reijnders
84′
85′
🔁 M. Šverko
↦ T. Suslov
85′
🔁 E. Matuta
↦ L. Duarte
88′
🟨 Jørgen Strand Larsen
Mustafa Saymak 🟨
89′
91′
🟨 Marin Šverko
92′
🟨 Yahya Kalley
1–1 Y. Nakayama
L. Adžić
94′
95′
🔁 D. Dankerlui
↦ M. El Hankouri
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Zwolle

3-5-2
1 K. Lamprou G
2 B. van Polen D
30 M. van der Werff D
21 D. Anderson M
4 Y. Nakayama D
34 M. de Wit M
13 R. Strieder M
10 P. Clement M
29 O. Darfalou F
19 D. Redan F
23 E. Reijnders M
Bench (12)
5 K. Paal
6 M. Saymak
22 M. de Waal
9 S. Tedić
11 L. Adžić
40 M. Hauptmeijer
37 R. Koolwijk
16 J. Schendelaar
7 G. Kastaneer
33 R. van den Berg
20 T. van den Belt
31 S. van Wermeskerken

Coach: D. Schreuder

Groningen

4-2-3-1
1 P. Leeuwenburgh G
3 B. van Hintum D
5 M. te Wierik D
21 N. Kasanwirjo D
40 B. Meijer D
6 L. Duarte M
11 M. El Hankouri M
7 T. Suslov M
8 M. de Leeuw M
9 J. Larsen F
19 P. Abraham M
Bench (11)
29 R. Postema
15 Y. Kalley
20 M. Šverko
14 E. Matuta
2 D. Dankerlui
27 C. Ngonge
16 J. Hoekstra
10 D. Irandust
18 M. Bogarde
26 D. van Kaam
25 J. de Boer

Coach: D. Buijs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,24
U ✓
3,36
B
3,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,00
U2,5 ✓
1,80
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

J Manschot · 135 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.